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Pro League
4–1
Full-time
Oostende
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 27/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
22%
56%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
63%
67%
Both score Ø 68%
63%
72%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12. · Oostende 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 1 3 +33 43
2 Gent 18 13 3 2 +24 42
3 Oostende 18 10 5 3 +16 35
4 Anderlecht 17 10 5 2 +12 35
5 Genk 17 10 3 4 +11 33
6 Standard 21 9 1 11 -10 28
7 Mechelen 21 7 5 9 -6 26
8 St Truiden 22 8 2 12 -9 26
9 Westerlo 27 6 8 13 -24 26
10 Waregem 17 7 4 6 +4 25
11 Charleroi 17 7 4 6 +1 25
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 6 7 14 -13 25
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 5 6 10 -7 21
14 Lokeren 23 5 6 12 -9 21
15 Beveren 21 6 3 12 -16 21
16 Kortrijk 19 4 7 8 -7 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Oostende
23′
🔁 Y. El Ghanassy
↦ B. Capon
1–0 J. Bostock
27′
2–0 Y. Croizet
L. Trossard
29′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 J. Bostock
L. Trossard
55′
4–0 Y. Croizet
L. Trossard
59′
60′
🔁 Z. Cyriac
↦ K. Musona
K. Houdret 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
61′
73′
🔁 N. Pedersen
↦ S. Siani
73′
A. Milić 4–1
Y. El Ghanassy
S. Urošević 🔁
↦ R. Reynaud
91′
S. Asamoah 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
93′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
4 R. Reynaud
25 Kanu
5 P. Ngawa
8 F. Le Postollec
15 J. Bostock
10 Y. Croizet
7 J. Remacle
27 K. Ojo
19 L. Trossard
Bench (7)
12 K. Houdret
17 S. Urošević
22 S. Asamoah
1 Y. Lenaerts
11 A. Cerigioni
14 T. Azevedo
23 J. Kostovski

Oostende

25 W. Biebauw
27 B. Capon
3 N. De Schutter
44 A. Milić
5 J. Lukaku
31 B. Godeau
7 S. Siani
20 M. Jonckheere
26 K. Vandendriessche
55 Fernando Canesin
11 K. Musona
Bench (7)
8 Y. El Ghanassy
9 Z. Cyriac
19 N. Pedersen
10 F. Berrier
14 D. Rozehnal
17 J. Akpala
33 J. Chopin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.