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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Oostende
T S T T S
0–4
Full-time
Genk
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 21/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
57%
63%
Both score Ø 59%
48%
69%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 9
1 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oostende 10. · Genk 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 19 15 2 2 +32 47
2 Anderlecht 18 11 6 1 +29 39
3 Club Brugge 18 11 4 3 +13 37
4 Kortrijk 22 10 7 5 +8 37
5 Antwerp 18 10 3 5 +11 33
6 Charleroi 17 9 5 3 +15 32
7 Cercle Brugge 23 8 4 11 +1 28
8 Gent 17 7 5 5 +7 26
9 Standard 21 7 5 9 -11 26
10 Oostende 21 8 2 11 -15 26
11 Genk 16 7 4 5 +10 25
12 Eupen 21 7 4 10 -5 25
13 Mechelen 17 7 2 8 -4 23
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 21 5 8 8 -10 23
15 Waregem 22 6 5 11 -18 23
16 St Truiden 21 6 3 12 -13 21
17 Seraing 20 6 1 13 -17 19
18 Seraing United 20 6 1 13 -17 19
19 Beerschot VA 20 3 3 14 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Genk
6′
I. Ugbo 0–1
J. Ito
12′
J. Ito 0–2
P. Hrošovský
35′
D. Muñoz 0–3
G. Arteaga
A. Tanghe 🔁
↦ E. Patoulidis
44′
Half-time 0–3
C. McGeehan 🔁
↦ R. DHaese
46′
Cameron McGeehan 🟨
49′
73′
🔁 L. Oyen
↦ T. Bongonda
78′
P. Hrošovský 0–4
D. Muñoz
79′
🔁 J. Paintsil
↦ I. Ugbo
83′
🟥 Kristian Thorstvedt
86′
🔁 M. Trésor
↦ J. Ito
86′
🔁 C. Cuesta
↦ D. Muñoz
86′
🔁 C. Eiting
↦ P. Hrošovský
88′
🟨 Carel Eiting
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Oostende

4-4-2
28 G. Hubert G
3 Z. Medley D
7 T. Ndicka D
15 F. Jäkel D
36 S. Wylin D
10 Kenny Rocha Santos M
29 R. D'Haese M
34 N. Bätzner M
24 E. Patoulidis M
68 T. Ambrose F
9 M. Gueye F
Bench (6)
33 A. Tanghe
8 C. McGeehan
39 Y. Boufath
22 J. Schelfhout
37 J. Brock
20 T. Coninckx

Coach: A. Blessin

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
10 T. Bongonda F
21 I. Ugbo F
7 J. Ito F
Bench (7)
24 L. Oyen
28 J. Paintsil
11 M. Trésor
46 C. Cuesta
20 C. Eiting
14 B. Toma
40 T. Leysen

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,49
U
3,75
B ✓
1,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.