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Pro League
Referee: B Put
1–2
Full-time
Oostende
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 21/16 matches
Win Ø 40%
48%
31%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
76%
63%
Both score Ø 66%
81%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 9
0 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1. · Oostende 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 21 10 6 5 +8 36
2 Genk 16 10 5 1 +19 35
3 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +23 34
4 Charleroi 20 10 4 6 +7 34
5 Antwerp 17 9 5 3 +13 32
6 Beerschot VA 18 10 1 7 +1 31
7 Gent 18 9 1 8 +8 28
8 Anderlecht 17 6 9 2 +9 27
9 Waregem 20 8 3 9 -5 27
10 Kortrijk 20 7 5 8 -3 26
11 Standard 17 6 6 5 +2 24
12 Eupen 18 5 9 4 -4 24
13 Cercle Brugge 20 7 0 13 -7 21
14 Oostende 16 5 4 7 +1 19
15 Mechelen 17 5 4 8 -7 19
16 Waasland-Beveren 18 5 3 10 -14 18
17 Beveren 18 5 3 10 -14 18
18 Mouscron 18 4 5 9 -13 17
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 4 5 9 -13 17
20 St Truiden 19 3 6 10 -11 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Oostende
29′
🟨 Maxime D'Arpino
1–0 K. Malinov
C. De Norre
35′
38′
🟨 Ari Freyr Skúlason
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. D'Haese
↦ A. Skúlason
59′
A. Theate 1–1
M. D'Arpino
71′
P. Ngawa 2–1
own goal
79′
🟨 Jelle Bataille
Musa Al-Taamari 🔁
↦ K. Malinov
79′
M. Maertens 🔁
↦ T. Vlietinck
79′
79′
🔁 M. Thiam
↦ M. Gueye
Pierre-Yves Ngawa 🟨
82′
87′
🔁 F. Marquet
↦ K. Vandendriessche
D. Vekemans 🔁
↦ C. De Norre
88′
O. Myny 🔁
↦ K. Sowah
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
90 R. Romo G
23 S. Kotysch D
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre D
2 V. Jemelka D
6 D. Hubert M
29 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier M
11 T. Vlietinck M
14 K. Sowah M
9 T. Henry F
Bench (7)
13 Musa Al-Taamari
33 M. Maertens
32 D. Vekemans
22 O. Myny
18 B. Bese
21 D. Iversen
15 D. Ouédraogo

Coach: M. Brys

Oostende

5-3-2
28 G. Hubert G
23 A. Skúlason D
4 J. Hendry D
33 A. Tanghe D
5 A. Theate D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
17 A. Hjulsager M
6 M. D'Arpino M
25 J. Bataille M
10 F. Sakala F
7 M. Gueye F
Bench (7)
29 R. D'Haese
19 M. Thiam
8 F. Marquet
34 N. Bätzner
15 F. Jäkel
21 M. Kvasina
99 B. Castro

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U
3,48
B ✓
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.