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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Strasbourg
T T S T T
2–3
Full-time
Lyon
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 18. · Lyon 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 7 5 0 2 +13 15
2 Rennes 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 Lille 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Lens 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 Marseille 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Montpellier 6 3 1 2 +4 10
7 Monaco 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 St Etienne 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Nice 6 3 1 2 -1 10
10 Bordeaux 7 2 3 2 +2 9
11 Brest 6 3 0 3 -2 9
12 Angers 6 3 0 3 -7 9
13 Nimes 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Lyon 6 1 4 1 +2 7
15 Metz 6 2 1 3 +0 7
16 Lorient 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Nantes 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Strasbourg 6 1 0 5 -9 3
19 Reims 7 0 2 5 -7 2
20 Dijon 7 0 2 5 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Lyon
12′
T. Kadewere 0–1
M. Depay
20′
🟨 Tino Kadewere
25′
K. Toko Ekambi 0–2
M. Depay
H. Diallo 🔁
↦ L. Carole
37′
42′
K. Toko Ekambi 0–3
M. Depay
1–3 H. Diallo
43′
45′
🟨 Maxwel Cornet
Half-time 1–3
52′
🟨 Karl Toko Ekambi
2–3 J. Aholou
M. Simakan
55′
Ludovic Ajorque 🟨
57′
64′
🔁 M. Dembélé
↦ T. Kadewere
72′
🔁 Jean Lucas
↦ H. Aouar
72′
🔁 M. De Sciglio
↦ L. Dubois
I. Sissoko 🔁
↦ J. Bellegarde
76′
A. Waris 🔁
↦ A. Thomasson
84′
86′
🔁 S. Diomande
↦ Lucas Paquetá
Jean-Eudes Aholou 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Strasbourg

4-1-4-1
30 B. Kamara G
5 L. Koné D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole D
10 K. Lala D
2 M. Simakan M
11 D. Liénard M
6 J. Aholou M
26 A. Thomasson M
17 J. Bellegarde M
25 L. Ajorque F
Bench (9)
28 H. Diallo
27 I. Sissoko
8 A. Waris
19 A. Caci
20 K. Zohi
29 I. Aaneba
14 S. Prcić
21 M. Chahiri
16 E. Kawashima

Coach: T. Laurey

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
14 L. Dubois D
5 J. Denayer D
23 Thiago Mendes M
8 H. Aouar M
12 Lucas Paquetá M
10 M. Depay F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
27 M. Cornet D
11 T. Kadewere F
Bench (9)
9 M. Dembélé
4 Jean Lucas
22 M. De Sciglio
2 S. Diomande
33 M. Gusto
19 C. Özkacar
18 M. Cherki
40 M. Barcola
3 D. Benlamri

Coach: R. Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,46
U
3,34
B ✓
2,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.