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2. Bundesliga
0–2
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wurzburger Kickers Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

11 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 1
14 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wurzburger Kickers 18. · Holstein Kiel 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Holstein Kiel 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Hannover 3 2 0 1 +4 6
4 Sandhausen 4 2 0 2 -2 6
5 Osnabruck 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Regensburg 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Bochum 4 1 2 1 +0 5
8 Erzgebirge Aue 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 St Pauli 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Darmstadt 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Heidenheim 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Nurnberg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Braunschweig 4 1 1 2 -4 4
14 Greuther Furth 4 0 3 1 -1 3
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Karlsruhe 4 1 0 3 -1 3
17 Paderborn 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Wurzburger Kickers 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,50
U
3,74
B ✓
1,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.