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Süper Lig
Referee: Atilla Karaoglan
Goztep
S S U U U
2–3
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goztep 10. · Fenerbahce 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 4 3 1 0 +10 10
2 Karagumruk 5 2 2 1 +4 8
3 Antalyaspor 5 2 2 1 +2 8
4 Fenerbahce 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Galatasaray 4 2 1 1 +3 7
6 Erzurumspor 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Sivasspor 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Kasimpasa 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Hatayspor 4 2 1 1 -3 7
10 Goztep 4 1 3 0 +4 6
11 Konyaspor 4 1 3 0 +3 6
12 Kayserispor 5 2 0 3 -4 6
13 Rizespor 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Trabzonspor 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 5 1 2 2 -4 5
16 Genclerbirligi 3 1 1 1 -1 4
17 Gaziantep 5 0 4 1 -2 4
18 Besiktas 4 1 1 2 -2 4
19 Buyuksehyr 5 1 1 3 -4 4
20 Denizlispor 4 0 2 2 -5 2
21 Ankaragücü 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goztep Fenerbahce
24′
ℹ️ Serdar Aziz
VAR: Goal cancelled
26′
J. Sosa 0–1
1–1 Guilherme
34′
41′
🟨 Luiz Gustavo
43′
S. Aziz 1–2
C. Erkin
Half-time 1–3
51′
D. Pelkas 1–3
C. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ Z. Tripić
56′
O. Nwobodo 🔁
↦ A. Biyogo Poko
56′
57′
🔁 F. Kadıoğlu
↦ E. Valencia
Brown Ideye 🟨
60′
2–3 Guilherme
H. Akbunar
63′
64′
🟨 Caner Erkin
64′
🟨 Altay Bayındır
Obinna Nwobodo 🟨
65′
70′
🔁 P. Cissé
↦ M. Samatta
70′
🔁 S. Gümüş
↦ D. Pelkas
75′
🟨 Serdar Aziz
Marcio Mossoró 🔁
↦ S. Aydoğdu
82′
83′
🔁 M. Yandaş
↦ J. Sosa
Marko Mihojević 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Goztep

4-2-3-1
70 İ. Eğribayat G
33 A. Nukan D
41 B. Emir D
3 M. Mihojević D
77 M. Paluli D
8 S. Aydoğdu M
12 Guilherme M
11 Z. Tripić M
17 A. Biyogo Poko M
7 H. Akbunar M
22 B. Ideye F
Bench (10)
9 C. Ndiaye
60 O. Nwobodo
10 Marcio Mossoró
16 B. Megyeri
68 D. Bureković
20 L. Gassama
90 E. Binici
4 Titi
66 B. Süleyman
6 K. Sönmez

Coach: E. Parlatan

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
1 A. Bayındır G
4 S. Aziz D
88 C. Erkin D
26 M. Tisserand D
35 N. Sangaré D
20 Luiz Gustavo M
5 J. Sosa M
14 D. Pelkas M
7 O. Tufan M
13 E. Valencia M
10 M. Samatta F
Bench (10)
16 F. Kadıoğlu
9 P. Cissé
29 S. Gümüş
8 M. Yandaş
6 T. Ciğerci
27 M. Thiam
15 H. Tekin
99 K. Ademi
18 S. Çiftpınar
37 F. Novák

Coach: E. Bulut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,36
U
3,56
B ✓
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Atilla Karaoglan · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.