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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Genk
S U S T S
3–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,0
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 61%
61%
61%
Points per game
2,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
61%
74%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,1
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2 Corners 4
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 3. · Club Brugge 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 24 15 6 3 +23 51
2 Antwerp 24 16 1 7 +11 49
3 Genk 23 14 6 3 +25 48
4 St Truiden 30 12 11 7 +11 47
5 Club Brugge 23 14 4 5 +28 46
6 Kortrijk 30 12 7 11 +2 43
7 Charleroi 30 12 6 12 +0 42
8 Gent 24 13 2 9 +13 41
9 Anderlecht 24 12 4 8 +6 40
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Waregem 30 8 9 13 -11 33
12 Eupen 30 10 2 18 -23 32
13 Cercle Brugge 30 7 7 16 -24 28
14 Beveren 30 5 12 13 -13 27
15 Oostende 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Lokeren 30 5 5 20 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Club Brugge
1–0 Leandro Trossard
13′
20′
🟨 Emmanuel Dennis
36′
Hans Vanaken 1–1
45′
🟨 Mats Rits
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Sofyan Amrabat
↦ Mats Rits
2–1 Ruslan Malinovskyi
55′
65′
🔁 Loïs Openda
↦ Siebe Schrijvers
69′
🔁 Arnaut Groeneveld
↦ Emmanuel Dennis
Mbwana Samatta 🟨
72′
Dries Wouters 🔁
↦ Ruslan Malinovskyi
79′
3–1 Mbwana Samatta
81′
85′
🟨 Clinton Mata
Dieumerci Ndongala 🔁
↦ Leandro Trossard
88′
Casper De Norre 🔁
↦ Bryan Heynen
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
33 Jhon Lucumi D
21 Jere Uronen D
25 Sander Berge M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
28 Bryan Heynen M
7 Junya Ito M
10 Mbwana Samatta F
14 Leandro Trossard F
Bench (10)
30 Nordin Jackers
23 Rubin Seigers
4 Dries Wouters
5 Neto Borges
2 Casper De Norre
45 Joseph Aidoo
11 Joseph Paintsil
20 Ivan Fiolić
77 Dieumerci Ndongala
93 Zinho Gano

Club Brugge

3-5-2
22 Ethan Horvath G
77 Clinton Mata D
44 Brandon Mechele D
24 Stefano Denswil D
42 Emmanuel Dennis F
25 Ruud Vormer M
20 Hans Vanaken M
26 Mats Rits M
11 Krépin Diatta F
16 Siebe Schrijvers F
7 Wesley F
Bench (9)
1 Karlo Letica
4 Luan Peres
5 Benoît Poulain
21 Dion Cools
35 Saulo Decarli
6 Sofyan Amrabat
9 Jelle Vossen
80 Loïs Openda
47 Arnaut Groeneveld

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.