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Super League
Referee: E Gortsilas
Larisa
T U U T U
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Super League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 58%
48%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

4 Shots 2
3 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Larisa 9. · Asteras Tripolis 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 27 21 6 0 +45 69
2 PAOK 27 18 5 4 +25 59
3 AEK 27 16 6 5 +21 54
4 Panathinaikos 27 11 9 7 +5 42
5 OFI Crete 27 10 5 12 -1 35
6 Aris 25 8 10 7 +7 34
7 Aris Thessalonikis 25 8 10 7 +7 34
8 Asteras Tripolis 27 8 7 12 -2 31
9 Larisa 27 7 10 10 -7 31
10 Atromitos 26 8 6 12 -6 30
11 Volos NFC 27 8 6 13 -19 30
12 Lamia 27 5 14 8 -11 29
13 Xanthi 27 8 5 14 -13 29
14 Panetolikos 27 4 8 15 -20 20
15 Panionios 27 4 5 18 -31 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Larisa Asteras Tripolis
1–0 R. Milosavljević
M. Bertos
18′
21′
🟨 Triantafyllos Pasalidis
Gabriel Torje 🟨
28′
2–0 R. Milosavljević
Amr Warda
36′
Vaggelīs Moras 🟨
41′
3–0 R. Milosavljević
Amr Warda
44′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 Luis Fernández
↦ Xesc Regis
59′
🔁 Sito
↦ Marc Fernández
Mateo Mužek 🟨
65′
A. Papazoglou 🔁
↦ M. Nunič
69′
Vinícius 🔁
↦ G. Torje
77′
79′
🟨 Ángel Martínez
83′
🔁 C. Tasoulis
↦ Ángel Martínez
84′
🟨 Christos Tasoulis
J. Bustos 🔁
↦ R. Milosavljević
84′
Athanasios Papazoglou 🟨
86′
Manolis Bertos 🟨
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Larisa

3-5-2
1 Ö. Kristinsson G
18 V. Moras D
25 M. Bertos D
5 A. Michail D
13 M. Mužek D
9 G. Torje M
66 Ali Ghazal M
7 Amr Warda F
22 A. Šećerović M
8 R. Milosavljević M
33 M. Nunič F
Bench (7)
11 A. Papazoglou
77 Vinícius
32 J. Bustos
20 N. Karanikas
12 G. Nagy
26 E. Kaçe
4 T. Iliadis

Coach: M. Grigoriou

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
93 N. Michael G
33 Ángel Martínez D
34 P. Matricardi D
4 T. Pasalidis D
27 G. Kotsiras D
7 Marc Fernández F
8 Borja Fernández M
6 José Luis Valiente M
77 M. Deletić F
19 Eneko Jauregi F
11 Xesc Regis F
Bench (7)
10 Luis Fernández
40 Sito
3 C. Tasoulis
99 A. Tsiftsis
14 F. Bellocq
42 G. Antzoulas
30 J. Barrales

Coach: M. Rastavac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,74
U
3,49
B
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Gortsilas · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
34,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.