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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Genk
T S U U S
1–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 58%
44%
72%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
48%
72%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 3. · Club Brugge 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 18 4 3 +33 58
2 Anderlecht 25 15 4 6 +12 49
3 Genk 25 11 10 4 +12 43
4 Standard 25 12 7 6 +7 43
5 Gent 25 12 6 7 +17 42
6 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
7 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
8 Charleroi 25 10 9 6 +5 39
9 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
10 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Club Brugge
Half-time 0–1
65′
Wesley 0–1
Abdoulay Diaby
1–1 L. Trossard
Clinton Mata
69′
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
70′
80′
🔁 D. Cools
↦ A. Limbombe
J. Mæhle 🔁
↦ Clinton Mata
84′
85′
🔁 J. Clasie
↦ H. Vanaken
89′
🔁 E. Dennis
↦ Abdoulay Diaby
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

1 D. Vuković
3 B. Nastić
15 O. Colley
4 D. Wouters
45 J. Aidoo
24 Pozuelo
17 I. Seck
18 R. Malinovskiy
27 Clinton Mata
7 N. Karelis
14 L. Trossard
Bench (7)
10 M. Samatta
31 J. Mæhle
6 S. Dewaest
19 T. Buffel
22 S. Schrijvers
30 N. Jackers
77 D. N'Dongala

Coach: P. Clement

Club Brugge

1 V. Gabulov
5 B. Poulain
24 S. Denswil
44 B. Mechele
25 R. Vormer
20 H. Vanaken
30 M. Nakamba
11 K. Diatta
10 Abdoulay Diaby
17 A. Limbombe
7 Wesley
Bench (7)
21 D. Cools
6 J. Clasie
42 E. Dennis
3 T. Simons
8 L. Refaelov
15 M. Mitrović
22 E. Horvath

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.