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Super League
Referee: A Vatsios
Panathinaikos
S S T S U
4–1
Full-time
Volos NFC
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Volos NFC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
This season — Super League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 36%
41%
30%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
33%
48%
Both score Ø 41%
37%
44%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

8 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · Volos NFC 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 27 21 6 0 +45 69
2 PAOK 27 18 5 4 +25 59
3 AEK 27 16 6 5 +21 54
4 Panathinaikos 27 11 9 7 +5 42
5 OFI Crete 27 10 5 12 -1 35
6 Aris Thessalonikis 25 8 10 7 +7 34
7 Aris 26 8 10 8 +6 34
8 Larisa 28 8 10 10 -4 34
9 Atromitos 27 9 6 12 -5 33
10 Asteras Tripolis 28 8 7 13 -5 31
11 Volos NFC 27 8 6 13 -19 30
12 Lamia 27 5 14 8 -11 29
13 Xanthi 27 8 5 14 -13 29
14 Panetolikos 27 4 8 15 -20 20
15 Panionios 27 4 5 18 -31 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Volos NFC
Uffe Bech 🟨
-5′
1–0 D. Nagy
I. Bouzoukis
3′
Giannis Bouzoukis 🟨
14′
Vasilios Zagaritis 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 F. Macheda
B. Schenkeveld
46′
João Nunes 🔁
↦ A. Poungouras
46′
46′
🔁 K. Balogiannis
↦ E. Lyratzis
53′
E. Jendrišek 2–1
F. Joao
60′
🔁 J. Torres
↦ F. Joao
62′
🟨 Iker Guarrotxena
64′
🟨 Iker Guarrotxena
64′
🟥 Iker Guarrotxena
3–1 F. Macheda
B. Schenkeveld
68′
75′
🔁 Nacho Cases
↦ E. Jendrišek
4–1 T. Chatzigiovanis
F. Macheda
76′
J. Perea 🔁
↦ D. Nagy
77′
U. Bech 🔁
↦ D. Kourmpelis
78′
81′
🟨 Augusto Max
86′
🟨 Juan Muñiz
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
15 V. Xenopoulos G
2 M. Johansson D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
44 A. Poungouras D
47 V. Zagaritis M
21 D. Kourmpelis M
26 A. Tuhami M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis F
9 F. Macheda F
22 D. Nagy M
Bench (7)
30 João Nunes
19 J. Perea
17 U. Bech
57 G. Vagiannidis
71 N. Christogeorgos
16 K. Apostolakis
55 S. Alexandropoulos

Coach: G. Donis

Volos NFC

4-2-3-1
1 T. Garavelis G
4 L. Cadamuro D
33 S. Dimopoulos M
3 F. Ferrari D
2 A. Ntentakis
22 E. Lyratzis D
8 Juan Muñiz M
5 A. Max M
26 E. Jendrišek F
10 Guarrotxena F
23 F. Joao F
Bench (7)
99 K. Balogiannis
18 J. Torres
14 Nacho Cases
20 M. Tsaousis
89 A. Kiziridis
24 G. Mitoglou
30 N. Melissas

Coach: S. Xirofotos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,37
U
4,56
B
7,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Vatsios · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.