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Premier League
Referee: Stuart Attwell
Tottenham
U S S S T
2–3
Full-time
Wolves
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Premier League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 37%
41%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 69%
67%
70%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

65% Possession 35%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 6. · Wolves 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 28 26 1 1 +44 79
2 Man City 27 18 3 6 +39 57
3 Leicester 28 15 5 8 +26 50
4 Chelsea 28 13 6 9 +8 45
5 Man United 27 11 8 8 +12 41
6 Tottenham 27 11 7 9 +8 40
7 Sheffield United 27 10 10 7 +4 40
8 Wolves 27 9 12 6 +6 39
9 Burnley 28 11 5 12 -6 38
10 Arsenal 27 8 13 6 +3 37
11 Everton 27 10 6 11 -5 36
12 Crystal Palace 28 9 9 10 -7 36
13 Southampton 28 10 4 14 -16 34
14 Newcastle 28 8 8 12 -17 32
15 Brighton 28 6 10 12 -8 28
16 West Ham 28 7 6 15 -14 27
17 Watford 28 6 9 13 -16 27
18 Bournemouth 28 7 6 15 -17 27
19 Aston Villa 27 7 4 16 -18 25
20 Norwich 28 5 6 17 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Wolves
1–0 S. Bergwijn
13′
27′
M. Doherty 1–1
2–1 S. Aurier
D. Alli
45′
Half-time 2–2
57′
Diogo Jota 2–2
Giovani Lo Celso 🟨
59′
71′
🟨 Willy Boly
73′
R. Jiménez 2–3
Diogo Jota
74′
🔁 Pedro Neto
↦ Adama Traoré
T. Ndombèlé 🔁
↦ J. Tanganga
76′
79′
🔁 L. Dendoncker
↦ Diogo Jota
Gedson Fernandes 🔁
↦ S. Aurier
82′
Ben Davies 🟨
84′
Harry Winks 🟨
84′
90′
🟨 Leander Dendoncker
T. Parrott 🔁
↦ B. Davies
91′
92′
🔁 Daniel Podence
↦ R. Jiménez
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Tottenham

3-4-3
22 P. Gazzaniga G
24 S. Aurier M
33 B. Davies M
6 D. Sánchez D
39 J. Tanganga D
27 Lucas Moura F
20 D. Alli F
15 E. Dier D
8 H. Winks M
18 G. Lo Celso M
23 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (7)
28 T. Ndombèlé
30 Gedson Fernandes
52 T. Parrott
29 O. Skipp
5 J. Vertonghen
4 T. Alderweireld
13 M. Vorm

Coach: José Mourinho

Wolves

3-4-3
11 Rui Patrício G
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
29 Rúben Vinagre M
28 João Moutinho M
27 R. Saïss D
8 Rúben Neves M
9 R. Jiménez F
37 Adama Traoré F
18 Diogo Jota F
Bench (7)
7 Pedro Neto
32 L. Dendoncker
10 Daniel Podence
59 O. Buur
49 M. Kilman
21 J. Ruddy
17 M. Gibbs-White

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U
3,17
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Stuart Attwell · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.