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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Bordeaux
U U S U T
1–1
Full-time
Nice
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 37%
35%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 68%
58%
77%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 13. · Nice 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 27 22 2 3 +51 68
2 Marseille 27 16 7 4 +12 55
3 Rennes 27 14 5 8 +9 47
4 Lille 27 14 4 9 +7 46
5 Montpellier 27 11 7 9 +6 40
6 Monaco 27 11 7 9 +1 40
7 Reims 27 9 11 7 +4 38
8 Strasbourg 27 11 5 11 +0 38
9 Lyon 26 10 7 9 +14 37
10 Nice 26 10 7 9 +2 37
11 Nantes 27 11 4 12 -1 37
12 Angers 27 10 6 11 -7 36
13 Bordeaux 26 9 8 9 +6 35
14 Brest 27 8 10 9 -2 34
15 Metz 27 7 10 10 -9 31
16 St Etienne 26 8 5 13 -14 29
17 Dijon 27 6 9 12 -11 27
18 Nimes 27 7 6 14 -14 27
19 Amiens 27 4 10 13 -19 22
20 Toulouse 27 3 4 20 -35 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Nice
Samuel Kalu 🟨
16′
1–0 N. de Préville
T. Bašić
21′
V. Jovanović 🔁
↦ Pablo
28′
32′
🟨 Khépren Thuram
39′
🟨 Dante
Half-time 1–0
Enock Kwateng 🟨
57′
57′
A. Ounas 1–1
M. Wagué
R. Oudin 🔁
↦ Rubén Pardo
65′
69′
🔁 A. Lusamba
↦ K. Thuram-Ulien
J. Maja 🔁
↦ S. Kalu
73′
83′
🔁 I. Ganago
↦ K. Dolberg
Toma Bašić 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 S. N'Soki
↦ R. Durmisi
90′
🟨 Malang Sarr
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
1 B. Costil G
6 L. Koscielny D
3 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
25 E. Kwateng D
8 Rubén Pardo M
5 Otávio M
26 T. Bašić M
12 N. de Préville F
18 Hwang Ui-jo M
10 S. Kalu M
Bench (7)
14 V. Jovanović
28 R. Oudin
9 J. Maja
16 G. Poussin
11 F. Kamano
19 Y. Adli
17 Y. Aït Bennasser

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Nice

3-4-3
40 W. Benítez G
4 Dante D
5 R. Durmisi M
6 M. Wagué M
23 M. Sarr D
21 Danilo Barbosa D
8 P. Lees Melou M
10 A. Ounas F
18 A. Claude Maurice F
19 K. Thuram-Ulien M
9 K. Dolberg F
Bench (7)
22 A. Lusamba
14 I. Ganago
2 S. N'Soki
16 Y. Clementia
27 A. Trouillet
15 P. Burner
7 M. Maolida

Coach: P. Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U ✓
3,51
B
3,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.