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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Club Brugge
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Genk
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 74%
80%
67%
Points per game
2,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 5
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 2. · Genk 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 6 5 0 1 +12 15
2 Club Brugge 5 4 1 0 +12 13
3 Antwerp 5 4 0 1 +10 12
4 Genk 6 4 0 2 +6 12
5 Mechelen 7 3 3 1 +5 12
6 Charleroi 6 3 2 1 +7 11
7 Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
9 Oostende 6 3 1 2 +0 10
10 Kortrijk 6 2 2 2 +2 8
11 Gent 5 2 1 2 +5 7
12 Waregem 5 2 1 2 -2 7
13 St Truiden 7 2 1 4 -7 7
14 Cercle Brugge 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Anderlecht 6 0 3 3 -4 3
16 Eupen 8 0 3 5 -14 3
17 Waasland-Beveren 6 0 1 5 -14 1
18 Beveren 6 0 1 5 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Genk
21′
🟨 Jakub Piotrowski
1–0 S. Deli
R. Vormer
41′
David Okereke 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Hrošovský
↦ J. Piotrowski
56′
🟨 Sander Berge
61′
🔁 D. Ndongala
↦ J. Paintsil
67′
B. Heynen 1–1
E. Dennis 🔁
↦ P. Tau
70′
E. Sobol 🔁
↦ F. Ricca
72′
80′
🟨 Dieumerci Ndongala
L. Openda 🔁
↦ D. Okereke
84′
86′
🟨 Mbwana Samatta
Emmanuel Dennis 🟨
90′
95′
🔁 P. Onuachu
↦ M. Samatta
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-3-3
88 S. Mignolet G
77 Clinton Mata D
17 S. Deli D
44 B. Mechele D
18 F. Ricca D
25 R. Vormer M
26 M. Rits M
20 H. Vanaken M
35 P. Tau F
14 D. Okereke F
11 K. Diatta F
Bench (7)
42 E. Dennis
2 E. Sobol
80 L. Openda
7 A. Sagna
16 S. Schrijvers
15 M. Mitrović
22 E. Horvath

Coach: P. Clement

Genk

4-3-3
28 G. Coucke G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
2 C. De Norre D
33 J. Lucumí D
25 S. Berge M
8 B. Heynen M
19 J. Piotrowski
10 M. Samatta F
7 J. Ito
11 J. Paintsil F
Bench (7)
17 P. Hrošovský
77 D. Ndongala
18 P. Onuachu
31 J. Mæhle
46 C. Cuesta
23 I. Hagi
26 M. Vandevoordt

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,86
B
4,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.