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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Genk
U S U S T
2–1
Full-time
Gent
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 59%
59%
59%
Points per game
2,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
59%
82%
Both score Ø 66%
59%
73%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,1
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

7 Corners 12
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 3. · Gent 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 22 14 6 2 +22 48
2 St Truiden 30 12 11 7 +11 47
3 Genk 22 13 6 3 +24 45
4 Club Brugge 22 13 4 5 +24 43
5 Antwerp 22 14 1 7 +9 43
6 Kortrijk 30 12 7 11 +2 43
7 Charleroi 30 12 6 12 +0 42
8 Gent 22 13 2 7 +15 41
9 Anderlecht 22 12 4 6 +12 40
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Waregem 30 8 9 13 -11 33
12 Eupen 30 10 2 18 -23 32
13 Cercle Brugge 30 7 7 16 -24 28
14 Beveren 30 5 12 13 -13 27
15 Oostende 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Lokeren 30 5 5 20 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. May -18 Genk – Gent 1–1 17. Apr -18 Gent – Genk 0–0 27. Dec -16 Genk – Gent 2–0 7. Aug -16 Gent – Genk 1–0 22. May -16 Gent – Genk 0–0

Match report

Genk Gent
42′
🟨 Dylan Bronn
1–0 Ruslan Malinovskyi ⚽
43′
2–0 Ruslan Malinovskyi ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–0
62′
🔁 Roman Bezus
↦ Anderson Esiti
65′
🟨 Nana Asare
Sébastien Dewaest 🟨
74′
74′
🟨 Roman Bezus
74′
🔁 Giorgi Chakvetadze
↦ Jonathan Christian David
74′
🔁 Stallone Limbombe
↦ Brecht Dejaegere
Joseph Paintsil 🔁
↦ Leandro Trossard
75′
87′
⚽ Timothy Derijck 2–1
Zinho Gano 🔁
↦ Mbwana Samatta
88′
Ruslan Malinovskyi 🟥
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
21 Jere Uronen D
33 Jhon Lucumi D
31 Joakim Maehle M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
25 Sander Berge M
28 Bryan Heynen M
7 Junya Ito M
10 Mbwana Samatta F
14 Leandro Trossard F
Bench (9)
30 Nordin Jackers
45 Joseph Aidoo
5 Neto Borges
2 Casper De Norre
4 Dries Wouters
11 Joseph Paintsil
19 Jakub Piotrowski
93 Zinho Gano
9 Marcus Ingvartsen

Gent

4-3-3
1 Thomas Kaminski G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
28 Dylan Bronn D
76 Timothy Derijck D
21 Nana Asare D
6 Birger Verstraete M
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
44 Anderson Esiti M
16 Jonathan Christian David F
10 Alexander Sørloth F
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
92 Colin Coosemans
4 Sigurd Rosted
29 Thibault De Smet
10 Roman Bezus
9 Stallone Limbombe
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze
13 Giorgi Kvilitaia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.