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Pro League

Referee: Jonathan Lardot

Gent

T T T T U

0–1

Full-time

Genk

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 58%

52%

64%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

80%

64%

Both score Ø 68%

72%

64%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

6 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 7. · Genk 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	25	16	6	3	+29	54
2	Antwerp	26	17	2	7	+12	53
3	Standard	26	15	6	5	+20	51
4	Club Brugge	25	14	5	6	+26	47
5	St Truiden	30	12	11	7	+11	47
6	Kortrijk	30	12	7	11	+2	43
7	Gent	25	13	3	9	+13	42
8	Charleroi	30	12	6	12	+0	42
9	Anderlecht	25	12	5	8	+6	41
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	30	11	7	12	+0	40
11	Waregem	30	8	9	13	-11	33
12	Eupen	30	10	2	18	-23	32
13	Cercle Brugge	30	7	7	16	-24	28
14	Beveren	30	5	12	13	-13	27
15	Oostende	30	6	9	15	-23	27
16	Lokeren	30	5	5	20	-25	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	13	9	3	1	+18	30
2	Genk	13	9	2	2	+15	29
3	St Truiden	15	8	5	2	+11	29
4	Antwerp	13	8	2	3	+7	26
5	Club Brugge	12	8	1	3	+19	25
6	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	7	4	4	+7	25
7	Charleroi	15	7	3	5	+4	24
8	Anderlecht	13	6	5	2	+11	23
9	Gent	12	7	1	4	+9	22
10	Kortrijk	15	6	3	6	-1	21
11	Cercle Brugge	15	6	3	6	-4	21
12	Waregem	15	5	5	5	+2	20
13	Eupen	15	6	0	9	-8	18
14	Lokeren	15	5	3	7	-8	18
15	Beveren	15	3	7	5	-5	16
16	Oostende	15	4	4	7	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	13	9	0	4	+5	27
2	Genk	12	7	4	1	+14	25
3	Club Brugge	13	6	4	3	+7	22
4	Kortrijk	15	6	4	5	+3	22
5	Standard	13	6	3	4	+2	21
6	Gent	13	6	2	5	+4	20
7	St Truiden	15	4	6	5	+0	18
8	Charleroi	15	5	3	7	-4	18
9	Anderlecht	12	6	0	6	-5	18
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	4	3	8	-7	15
11	Eupen	15	4	2	9	-15	14
12	Waregem	15	3	4	8	-13	13
13	Beveren	15	2	5	8	-8	11
14	Oostende	15	2	5	8	-14	11
15	Cercle Brugge	15	1	4	10	-20	7
16	Lokeren	15	0	2	13	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.