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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Standard
U U U T T
0–1
Full-time
Gent
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 24/22 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
71%
55%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 4. · Gent 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 23 18 4 1 +42 58
2 Charleroi 23 13 7 3 +20 46
3 Antwerp 23 13 5 5 +19 44
4 Standard 24 12 6 6 +19 42
5 Genk 25 12 5 8 +10 41
6 Mechelen 24 12 5 7 +3 41
7 Gent 22 11 6 5 +17 39
8 Waregem 23 10 5 8 +4 35
9 Anderlecht 22 6 10 6 +2 28
10 Mouscron 21 6 9 6 +1 27
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 6 9 6 +1 27
12 St Truiden 24 6 6 12 -18 24
13 Kortrijk 24 6 4 14 -11 22
14 Eupen 23 5 5 13 -19 20
15 Oostende 22 5 4 13 -16 19
16 Waasland-Beveren 21 4 5 12 -24 17
17 Beveren 21 4 5 12 -24 17
18 Cercle Brugge 24 4 4 16 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Gent
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Roman Yaremchuk
62′
🟨 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe
F. Avenatti 🔁
↦ D. Čop
63′
68′
🔁 G. Kvilitaia
↦ R. Yaremchuk
83′
S. Kums 0–1
L. Depoitre
84′
🔁 M. Lustig
↦ S. Kums
A. Boljević 🔁
↦ D. Lavalée
86′
88′
🟨 Alessio Castro-Montes
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Standard

4-5-1
16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
24 N. Gavory D
27 M. Vojvoda D
3 Z. Vanheusden D
4 D. Lavalée D
10 M. Carcela M
22 M. Lestienne M
8 G. Cimirot M
40 P. M'Poku F
7 D. Čop F
Bench (7)
25 F. Avenatti
18 A. Boljević
26 N. Raskin
12 D. Drăguş
23 S. Miangue
1 J. Gillet
21 C. Fai

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Gent

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
13 G. Kvilitaia
23 M. Lustig
26 C. Coosemans
18 D. Mbayo
10 G. Chakvetadze
2 J. Van den Bergh
11 W. George

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,52
B ✓
2,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.