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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Gent
T U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 67%
52%
81%
Points per game
1,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 43%
52%
33%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,1
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 5. · Club Brugge 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 17 3 1 +38 54
2 Charleroi 23 13 7 3 +20 46
3 Antwerp 22 13 4 5 +19 43
4 Standard 24 12 6 6 +19 42
5 Gent 21 11 5 5 +17 38
6 Genk 23 11 5 7 +11 38
7 Waregem 22 10 5 7 +8 35
8 Mechelen 22 10 5 7 +1 35
9 Mouscron 20 6 9 5 +2 27
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 6 9 5 +2 27
11 Anderlecht 21 5 10 6 +0 25
12 St Truiden 21 6 5 10 -16 23
13 Eupen 22 5 5 12 -18 20
14 Kortrijk 23 5 4 14 -12 19
15 Oostende 22 5 4 13 -16 19
16 Cercle Brugge 23 4 4 15 -25 16
17 Waasland-Beveren 20 3 5 12 -25 14
18 Beveren 20 3 5 12 -25 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Club Brugge
35′
🔁 C. De Ketelaere
↦ P. Tau
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Sobol
↦ F. Ricca
57′
E. Dennis 0–1
E. Sobol
Laurent Depoitre 🟨
60′
A. Castro-Montes 🔁
↦ M. Lustig
61′
G. Kvilitaia 🔁
↦ L. Depoitre
65′
70′
🔁 É. Álvarez
↦ M. Rits
Jonathan David 🟨
72′
1–1 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
J. David
73′
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe 🟨
86′
R. Bezus 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
88′
89′
🟨 Éder Balanta
Roman Bezus 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-1-3-2
1 T. Kaminski G
23 M. Lustig D
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
14 A. Castro-Montes
13 G. Kvilitaia
9 R. Bezus
18 D. Mbayo
10 G. Chakvetadze
21 N. Asare
26 C. Coosemans

Coach: J. Thorup

Club Brugge

4-3-3
88 S. Mignolet G
77 Clinton Mata D
17 S. Deli D
44 B. Mechele D
18 F. Ricca D
25 R. Vormer M
26 M. Rits M
20 H. Vanaken M
35 P. Tau F
42 E. Dennis F
11 K. Diatta F
Bench (7)
90 C. De Ketelaere
2 E. Sobol
3 É. Álvarez
14 D. Okereke
16 S. Schrijvers
22 E. Horvath
5 K. Odilon

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U ✓
3,51
B
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.