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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Genk
S T S U U
2–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 53%
42%
63%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
46%
67%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
63%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 7. · Anderlecht 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 24 18 3 3 +33 57
2 Anderlecht 24 15 4 5 +13 49
3 Gent 24 12 6 6 +18 42
4 Standard 24 12 6 6 +7 42
5 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
6 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
7 Genk 24 10 10 4 +11 40
8 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
9 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
10 Charleroi 24 9 9 6 +4 36
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Anderlecht
1–0 D. N'Dongala
B. Nastić
2′
20′
L. Marković 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 L. Trossard
N. Karelis
59′
67′
🔁 M. Bruno
↦ A. Saelemaekers
67′
🔁 R. Morioka
↦ S. Kums
80′
🔁 F. Amuzu
↦ L. Marković
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
83′
Clinton Mata 🔁
↦ D. NDongala
86′
T. Buffel 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

1 D. Vuković
3 B. Nastić
15 O. Colley
45 J. Aidoo
24 Pozuelo
17 I. Seck
18 R. Malinovskiy
31 J. Mæhle
7 N. Karelis
14 L. Trossard
77 D. N'Dongala
Bench (7)
10 M. Samatta
27 Clinton Mata
19 T. Buffel
6 S. Dewaest
30 N. Jackers
22 S. Schrijvers
4 D. Wouters

Coach: P. Clement

Anderlecht

1 M. Sels
37 I. Obradović
2 Josué Sá
20 S. Kums
25 A. Trebel
15 K. Saief
50 L. Marković
8 P. Gerkens
32 L. Dendoncker
56 A. Saelemaekers
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
Bench (7)
17 M. Bruno
10 R. Morioka
40 F. Amuzu
35 S. Ganvoula
47 A. Dante
3 O. Deschacht
30 B. de Jong

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.