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Premier League
Referee: Lee Mason
Watford
T T T U T
2–0
Full-time
Man United
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Premier League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 21%
6%
35%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
35%
71%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
5 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 20. · Man United 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 17 16 1 0 +28 49
2 Leicester 18 12 3 3 +27 39
3 Man City 18 12 2 4 +30 38
4 Chelsea 17 9 2 6 +6 29
5 Sheffield United 18 7 7 4 +6 28
6 Wolves 18 6 9 3 +4 27
7 Tottenham 17 7 5 5 +8 26
8 Man United 17 6 7 4 +6 25
9 Newcastle 18 7 4 7 -6 25
10 Burnley 18 7 3 8 -6 24
11 Arsenal 18 5 8 5 -3 23
12 Crystal Palace 18 6 5 7 -5 23
13 Brighton 18 5 5 8 -5 20
14 Bournemouth 18 5 4 9 -6 19
15 Everton 18 5 4 9 -9 19
16 West Ham 17 5 4 8 -9 19
17 Southampton 18 5 3 10 -16 18
18 Aston Villa 18 4 3 11 -9 15
19 Norwich 18 3 3 12 -18 12
20 Watford 17 1 6 10 -23 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,39
U
3,89
B
1,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lee Mason · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.