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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Anderlecht
T U T S U
1–1
Full-time
Genk
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,7
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 55%
46%
64%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 63%
64%
61%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,6
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 4
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 7. · Genk 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 28 18 6 4 +33 60
2 Club Brugge 28 17 5 6 +29 56
3 Antwerp 28 17 3 8 +8 54
4 Standard 28 15 6 7 +18 51
5 St Truiden 30 12 11 7 +11 47
6 Gent 28 14 3 11 +12 45
7 Anderlecht 28 13 6 9 +6 45
8 Kortrijk 30 12 7 11 +2 43
9 Charleroi 30 12 6 12 +0 42
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Waregem 30 8 9 13 -11 33
12 Eupen 30 10 2 18 -23 32
13 Cercle Brugge 30 7 7 16 -24 28
14 Beveren 30 5 12 13 -13 27
15 Oostende 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Lokeren 30 5 5 20 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Genk
11′
Bryan Heynen 0–1
Leandro Trossard
Yannick Bolasie 🟨
36′
Sebastiaan Bornauw 🟨
39′
Ivan Santini 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
57′
🟨 Joakim Maehle
58′
🔁 Joseph Paintsil
↦ Junya Ito
1–1 Yannick Bolasie
65′
Francis Amuzu 🔁
↦ Yannick Bolasie
75′
75′
🔁 Zinho Gano
↦ Mbwana Samatta
Andy Najar 🔁
↦ Alexis Saelemaekers
80′
Pieter Gerkens 🔁
↦ Yari Verschaeren
89′
89′
🔁 Casper De Norre
↦ Leandro Trossard
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
16 Thomas Didillon G
12 Dennis Appiah D
2 Kara Mbodji D
22 Elias Cobbaut D
45 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
20 Sven Kums M
56 Alexis Saelemaekers D
25 Adrien Trebel M
51 Yari Verschaeren M
19 Ivan Santini F
11 Yannick Bolasie F
Bench (8)
1 Frank Boeckx
3 Jamie Lawrence
7 Andy Najar
4 Bubacarr Sanneh
8 Pieter Gerkens
39 Edo Kayembe
27 Peter Žulj
40 Francis Amuzu

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
33 Jhon Lucumi D
21 Jere Uronen D
25 Sander Berge M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
28 Bryan Heynen M
7 Junya Ito M
10 Mbwana Samatta F
14 Leandro Trossard F
Bench (11)
30 Nordin Jackers
23 Rubin Seigers
4 Dries Wouters
2 Casper De Norre
45 Joseph Aidoo
11 Joseph Paintsil
19 Jakub Piotrowski
20 Ivan Fiolić
77 Dieumerci Ndongala
9 Marcus Ingvartsen
93 Zinho Gano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.