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Pro League

Referee: Nicolas Laforge

Genk

T S U S U

3–0

Full-time

Anderlecht

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 60%

60%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

60%

65%

Both score Ø 68%

65%

70%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 4. · Anderlecht 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	30	12	11	7	+11	47
2	Standard	21	13	6	2	+21	45
3	Kortrijk	30	12	7	11	+2	43
4	Genk	20	12	6	2	+22	42
5	Charleroi	30	12	6	12	+0	42
6	Gent	20	13	2	5	+19	41
7	Anderlecht	20	12	4	4	+16	40
8	Antwerp	21	13	1	7	+8	40
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	30	11	7	12	+0	40
10	Club Brugge	20	11	4	5	+20	37
11	Waregem	30	8	9	13	-11	33
12	Eupen	30	10	2	18	-23	32
13	Cercle Brugge	30	7	7	16	-24	28
14	Beveren	30	5	12	13	-13	27
15	Oostende	30	6	9	15	-23	27
16	Lokeren	30	5	5	20	-25	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	15	8	5	2	+11	29
2	Standard	11	8	3	0	+15	27
3	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	7	4	4	+7	25
4	Charleroi	15	7	3	5	+4	24
5	Anderlecht	10	6	4	0	+13	22
6	Gent	10	7	1	2	+11	22
7	Kortrijk	15	6	3	6	-1	21
8	Cercle Brugge	15	6	3	6	-4	21
9	Genk	10	6	2	2	+9	20
10	Waregem	15	5	5	5	+2	20
11	Club Brugge	10	6	1	3	+12	19
12	Antwerp	10	6	1	3	+5	19
13	Eupen	15	6	0	9	-8	18
14	Lokeren	15	5	3	7	-8	18
15	Beveren	15	3	7	5	-5	16
16	Oostende	15	4	4	7	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	10	6	4	0	+13	22
2	Kortrijk	15	6	4	5	+3	22
3	Antwerp	11	7	0	4	+3	21
4	Gent	10	6	1	3	+8	19
5	Club Brugge	10	5	3	2	+8	18
6	Standard	10	5	3	2	+6	18
7	Anderlecht	10	6	0	4	+3	18
8	St Truiden	15	4	6	5	+0	18
9	Charleroi	15	5	3	7	-4	18
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	4	3	8	-7	15
11	Eupen	15	4	2	9	-15	14
12	Waregem	15	3	4	8	-13	13
13	Beveren	15	2	5	8	-8	11
14	Oostende	15	2	5	8	-14	11
15	Cercle Brugge	15	1	4	10	-20	7
16	Lokeren	15	0	2	13	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.