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La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Real Madrid

S S S U U

0–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 50%

59%

41%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

47%

24%

Both score Ø 41%

47%

35%

Average goals

2,6

1,8

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

20 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Ath Bilbao 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	12	3	3	+26	39
2	Real Madrid	17	10	6	1	+21	36
3	Sevilla	18	10	4	4	+6	34
4	Ath Madrid	18	8	8	2	+9	32
5	Sociedad	18	9	4	5	+9	31
6	Getafe	18	8	6	4	+9	30
7	Valencia	18	7	7	4	+3	28
8	Ath Bilbao	17	7	6	4	+7	27
9	Levante	18	8	2	8	-2	26
10	Villarreal	18	7	4	7	+6	25
11	Granada	18	7	3	8	-1	24
12	Osasuna	18	5	8	5	+1	23
13	Betis	18	6	5	7	-6	23
14	Valladolid	18	4	8	6	-6	20
15	Alaves	18	5	4	9	-9	19
16	Eibar	18	5	4	9	-10	19
17	Mallorca	18	4	3	11	-14	15
18	Celta	18	3	5	10	-13	14
19	Leganes	18	3	4	11	-14	13
20	Espanol	18	2	4	12	-22	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+24	25
2	Real Madrid	8	6	2	0	+14	20
3	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Getafe	9	5	3	1	+10	18
5	Ath Madrid	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Valencia	9	4	5	0	+6	17
7	Levante	9	5	2	2	+5	17
8	Betis	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Villarreal	9	4	4	1	+8	16
10	Granada	9	5	1	3	+5	16
11	Alaves	9	4	3	2	+6	15
12	Sociedad	8	4	2	2	+8	14
13	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	+3	14
14	Mallorca	10	4	2	4	+0	14
15	Osasuna	9	3	4	2	+3	13
16	Eibar	9	4	0	5	-4	12
17	Valladolid	8	2	5	1	+4	11
18	Leganes	10	3	1	6	-4	10
19	Celta	9	2	3	4	-4	9
20	Espanol	9	0	2	7	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	10	6	2	2	+3	20
2	Sociedad	10	5	2	3	+1	17
3	Real Madrid	9	4	4	1	+7	16
4	Barcelona	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Ath Madrid	9	3	5	1	+2	14
6	Getafe	9	3	3	3	-1	12
7	Valencia	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Osasuna	9	2	4	3	-2	10
9	Villarreal	9	3	0	6	-2	9
10	Levante	9	3	0	6	-7	9
11	Valladolid	10	2	3	5	-10	9
12	Granada	9	2	2	5	-6	8
13	Espanol	9	2	2	5	-9	8
14	Ath Bilbao	8	1	4	3	-3	7
15	Eibar	9	1	4	4	-6	7
16	Betis	8	1	3	4	-9	6
17	Celta	9	1	2	6	-9	5
18	Alaves	9	1	1	7	-15	4
19	Leganes	8	0	3	5	-10	3
20	Mallorca	8	0	1	7	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.