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Super League

Referee: E Gortsilas

Larisa

T S U T T

2–0

Full-time

Panionios

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Panionios

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,7

This season — Super League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 29%

38%

19%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

63%

56%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

74% Possession 26%

9 Shots 3

4 Shots on target 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

6 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Larisa 5. · Panionios 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	12	4	0	+27	40
2	PAOK	16	11	5	0	+18	38
3	AEK	17	8	5	4	+8	29
4	OFI Crete	17	8	3	6	+10	27
5	Larisa	16	6	4	6	-2	22
6	Aris	15	5	6	4	+7	21
7	Aris Thessalonikis	15	5	6	4	+7	21
8	Panathinaikos	16	5	6	5	-6	21
9	Atromitos	16	5	5	6	+2	20
10	Lamia	17	4	8	5	-6	20
11	Xanthi	17	6	2	9	-10	20
12	Volos NFC	17	6	2	9	-15	20
13	Asteras Tripolis	17	4	3	10	-5	15
14	Panionios	16	3	4	9	-14	13
15	Panetolikos	16	0	5	11	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	OFI Crete	9	7	1	1	+13	22
3	AEK	9	5	3	1	+9	18
4	PAOK	8	5	3	0	+8	18
5	Volos NFC	8	5	1	2	+2	16
6	Aris	8	4	2	2	+9	14
7	Aris Thessalonikis	8	4	2	2	+9	14
8	Lamia	8	3	5	0	+3	14
9	Atromitos	9	3	4	2	+5	13
10	Asteras Tripolis	8	3	2	3	+2	11
11	Xanthi	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Panathinaikos	7	3	1	3	+0	10
13	Larisa	7	3	1	3	+0	10
14	Panionios	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	Panetolikos	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Olympiakos	8	5	3	0	+11	18
3	Larisa	9	3	3	3	-2	12
4	AEK	8	3	2	3	-1	11
5	Panathinaikos	9	2	5	2	-6	11
6	Xanthi	8	3	0	5	-10	9
7	Aris	7	1	4	2	-2	7
8	Aris Thessalonikis	7	1	4	2	-2	7
9	Atromitos	7	2	1	4	-3	7
10	Lamia	9	1	3	5	-9	6
11	OFI Crete	8	1	2	5	-3	5
12	Asteras Tripolis	9	1	1	7	-7	4
13	Panionios	7	1	1	5	-13	4
14	Volos NFC	9	1	1	7	-17	4
15	Panetolikos	9	0	2	7	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.