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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Anderlecht
T S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Genk
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 50%
59%
41%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
69%
48%
Both score Ø 64%
66%
62%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Anderlecht 2. · Genk 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 29 19 6 4 +34 63
2 Anderlecht 29 17 4 8 +12 55
3 Standard 29 15 8 6 +16 53
4 Genk 29 12 12 5 +10 48
5 Gent 29 13 7 9 +15 46
6 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
7 Charleroi 29 11 9 9 -1 42
8 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
9 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
10 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Genk
35′
D. Wouters 0–1
37′
L. Trossard 0–2
D. N'Dongala
Half-time 0–2
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ A. Najar
46′
1–2 Ł. Teodorczyk
A. Saelemaekers
53′
64′
🔁 S. Berge
↦ D. Wouters
79′
🔁 S. Schrijvers
↦ Pozuelo
A. Lokonga 🔁
↦ R. Morioka
84′
85′
🔁 T. Buffel
↦ D. NDongala
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ Ł. Teodorczyk
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

1 M. Sels
3 O. Deschacht
7 A. Najar
5 U. Spajić
20 S. Kums
10 R. Morioka
4 K. Mbodji
25 A. Trebel
8 P. Gerkens
56 A. Saelemaekers
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
Bench (7)
40 F. Amuzu
48 A. Lokonga
35 S. Ganvoula
23 F. Boeckx
39 E. Kayembe
45 S. Bornauw
47 A. Dante

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Genk

1 D. Vuković
3 B. Nastić
15 O. Colley
4 D. Wouters
45 J. Aidoo
24 Pozuelo
17 I. Seck
27 Clinton Mata
14 L. Trossard
10 M. Samatta
77 D. N'Dongala
Bench (7)
25 S. Berge
22 S. Schrijvers
19 T. Buffel
6 S. Dewaest
7 N. Karelis
31 J. Mæhle
30 N. Jackers

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.