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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Tottenham
S S T S S
0–2
Full-time
Chelsea
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
41%
53%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
76%
65%
Both score Ø 71%
76%
65%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
5 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 7. · Chelsea 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 17 16 1 0 +28 49
2 Leicester 18 12 3 3 +27 39
3 Man City 18 12 2 4 +30 38
4 Chelsea 17 9 2 6 +6 29
5 Sheffield United 18 7 7 4 +6 28
6 Wolves 18 6 9 3 +4 27
7 Tottenham 17 7 5 5 +8 26
8 Man United 18 6 7 5 +4 25
9 Newcastle 18 7 4 7 -6 25
10 Burnley 18 7 3 8 -6 24
11 Arsenal 18 5 8 5 -3 23
12 Crystal Palace 18 6 5 7 -5 23
13 Brighton 18 5 5 8 -5 20
14 Bournemouth 18 5 4 9 -6 19
15 Everton 18 5 4 9 -9 19
16 West Ham 17 5 4 8 -9 19
17 Southampton 18 5 3 10 -16 18
18 Aston Villa 18 4 3 11 -9 15
19 Norwich 18 3 3 12 -18 12
20 Watford 18 2 6 10 -21 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Chelsea
12′
Willian 0–1
M. Kovačić
31′
🟨 Kurt Zouma
Dele Alli 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Mateo Kovačić
Paulo Gazzaniga 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
C. Eriksen 🔁
↦ E. Dier
46′
49′
Willian 0–2
Moussa Sissoko 🟨
58′
Heung-Min Son 🟥
62′
Toby Alderweireld 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 Jorginho
↦ M. Kovačić
T. Ndombèlé 🔁
↦ Lucas Moura
74′
D. Rose 🔁
↦ J. Vertonghen
74′
78′
🟨 Antonio Rüdiger
80′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ T. Abraham
80′
🔁 R. James
↦ Azpilicueta
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-3-3
22 P. Gazzaniga G
5 J. Vertonghen D
4 T. Alderweireld D
24 S. Aurier D
6 D. Sánchez D
17 M. Sissoko M
27 Lucas Moura F
20 D. Alli M
15 E. Dier M
7 Son Heung-Min F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
23 C. Eriksen
28 T. Ndombèlé
3 D. Rose
21 J. Foyth
18 G. Lo Celso
8 H. Winks
13 M. Vorm

Coach: José Mourinho

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
1 Kepa G
28 Azpilicueta M
3 Marcos Alonso M
15 K. Zouma D
2 A. Rüdiger D
29 F. Tomori D
17 M. Kovačić M
7 N. Kanté M
19 M. Mount F
10 Willian F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (7)
5 Jorginho
23 M. Batshuayi
24 R. James
4 A. Christensen
13 W. Caballero
22 C. Pulisic
20 C. Hudson-Odoi

Coach: F. Lampard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,65
B ✓
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.