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Süper Lig
Referee: C Çakιr
Fenerbahce
S U U S T
3–1
Full-time
Besiktas
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
47%
53%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
67%
47%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
47%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 5
5 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 5. · Besiktas 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 16 10 4 2 +18 34
2 Buyuksehyr 16 8 6 2 +11 30
3 Besiktas 15 8 3 4 +4 27
4 Trabzonspor 15 7 5 3 +11 26
5 Fenerbahce 15 7 4 4 +10 25
6 Galatasaray 16 6 6 4 +3 24
7 Yeni Malatyaspor 16 6 5 5 +10 23
8 Alanyaspor 15 6 5 4 +10 23
9 Goztep 16 6 5 5 +0 23
10 Gaziantep 16 6 5 5 -2 23
11 Denizlispor 15 6 3 6 +0 21
12 Rizespor 16 6 2 8 -9 20
13 Genclerbirligi 16 4 6 6 -1 18
14 Kasimpasa 16 4 3 9 -4 15
15 Konyaspor 15 3 6 6 -7 15
16 Antalyaspor 16 3 5 8 -13 14
17 Ankaragücü 16 2 5 9 -19 11
18 Kayserispor 16 2 4 10 -22 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Besiktas
1–0 M. Kruse
23′
31′
🟨 Jeremain Lens
2–0 O. Tufan
Luiz Gustavo
32′
33′
🟨 Caner Erkin
Deniz Türüç 🟨
37′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Ljajić
↦ A. Diaby
50′
A. Hutchinson 2–1
C. Erkin
3–1 V. Muriqi
M. Isla
58′
63′
🔁 G. N'Koudou
↦ Pedro Rebocho
F. Kadıoğlu 🔁
↦ D. Türüç
75′
77′
🟨 Mohamed Elneny
Serdar Aziz 🟨
79′
T. Arslan 🔁
↦ M. Kruse
86′
87′
🔁 U. Nayir
↦ B. Yılmaz
M. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ O. Tufan
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
98 A. Bayındır G
15 S. Aziz D
4 M. Isla D
20 Luiz Gustavo M
17 N. Dirar D
14 T. Ciğerci M
23 D. Türüç M
7 O. Tufan M
25 Jaílson D
10 M. Kruse M
94 V. Muriqi F
Bench (8)
16 F. Kadıoğlu
6 T. Arslan
32 M. Jørgensen
9 M. Erdinç
34 A. Rami
26 A. Potuk
28 M. Sağlam
35 H. Tekin

Coach: E. Yanal

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
1 L. Karius G
88 C. Erkin M
77 G. Gönül D
24 D. Vida D
3 E. Roco D
23 Pedro Rebocho D
27 J. Lens M
13 A. Hutchinson M
15 Mohamed Elneny M
17 B. Yılmaz F
92 A. Diaby M
Bench (10)
22 A. Ljajić
19 G. N'Koudou
8 U. Nayir
11 T. Boyd
4 Víctor Ruíz
30 E. Destanoğlu
9 G. Yalçın
20 N. Uysal
10 O. Özyakup
97 U. Yuvakuran

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,60
B
3,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Çakιr · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.