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Championship

Referee: T Harrington

Sheffield Weds

U S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Bristol City

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Bristol City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — Championship · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 43%

45%

41%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

45%

64%

Both score Ø 64%

59%

68%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 1

0 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sheffield Weds 6. · Bristol City 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	23	14	8	1	+22	50
2	Leeds	23	14	5	4	+21	47
3	Preston	23	11	5	7	+8	38
4	Fulham	21	11	4	6	+11	37
5	Swansea	22	10	7	5	+6	37
6	Sheffield Weds	22	10	6	6	+13	36
7	Bristol City	22	9	8	5	+2	35
8	Nott'm Forest	22	9	7	6	+5	34
9	Blackburn	22	10	4	8	+2	34
10	Hull	23	9	6	8	+6	33
11	Millwall	23	8	9	6	-1	33
12	Cardiff	22	8	8	6	+2	32
13	QPR	23	9	5	9	-7	32
14	Brentford	21	9	4	8	+12	31
15	Birmingham	23	8	4	11	-10	28
16	Reading	22	7	5	10	+1	26
17	Derby	23	6	8	9	-10	26
18	Charlton	23	6	7	10	-2	25
19	Huddersfield	23	6	7	10	-9	25
20	Middlesbrough	23	5	9	9	-11	24
21	Luton	23	6	2	15	-19	20
22	Barnsley	23	4	7	12	-15	19
23	Stoke	23	5	3	15	-12	18
24	Wigan	22	4	6	12	-15	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	12	9	2	1	+16	29
2	Leeds	11	7	3	1	+11	24
3	West Brom	11	6	5	0	+13	23
4	Fulham	12	7	2	3	+9	23
5	Cardiff	10	7	2	1	+9	23
6	Blackburn	11	6	3	2	+5	21
7	Hull	12	6	2	4	+7	20
8	Derby	12	5	5	2	+5	20
9	Sheffield Weds	10	5	4	1	+5	19
10	Millwall	11	5	4	2	+4	19
11	Middlesbrough	12	5	4	3	+0	19
12	Brentford	10	5	3	2	+11	18
13	Swansea	11	5	2	4	+4	17
14	Birmingham	11	5	2	4	+1	17
15	Bristol City	11	4	4	3	+2	16
16	QPR	12	4	4	4	-3	16
17	Reading	11	5	0	6	+1	15
18	Charlton	12	4	3	5	+1	15
19	Wigan	11	4	3	4	-3	15
20	Luton	11	4	2	5	-1	14
21	Nott'm Forest	10	4	2	4	-1	14
22	Barnsley	12	3	5	4	-3	14
23	Huddersfield	12	3	4	5	-3	13
24	Stoke	12	3	2	7	-4	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	12	8	3	1	+9	27
2	Leeds	12	7	2	3	+10	23
3	Nott'm Forest	12	5	5	2	+6	20
4	Swansea	11	5	5	1	+2	20
5	Bristol City	11	5	4	2	+0	19
6	Sheffield Weds	12	5	2	5	+8	17
7	QPR	11	5	1	5	-4	16
8	Fulham	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Millwall	12	3	5	4	-5	14
10	Brentford	11	4	1	6	+1	13
11	Hull	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Blackburn	11	4	1	6	-3	13
13	Huddersfield	11	3	3	5	-6	12
14	Reading	11	2	5	4	+0	11
15	Birmingham	12	3	2	7	-11	11
16	Charlton	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Cardiff	12	1	6	5	-7	9
18	Preston	11	2	3	6	-8	9
19	Stoke	11	2	1	8	-8	7
20	Derby	11	1	3	7	-15	6
21	Luton	12	2	0	10	-18	6
22	Middlesbrough	11	0	5	6	-11	5
23	Barnsley	11	1	2	8	-12	5
24	Wigan	11	0	3	8	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.