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Pro League
Mouscron
S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Eupen
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mouscron Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
80%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

5 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 6
17 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mouscron 9. · Eupen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 6 5 0 1 +12 15
2 Club Brugge 5 4 1 0 +12 13
3 Antwerp 5 4 0 1 +10 12
4 Genk 6 4 0 2 +6 12
5 Mechelen 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Oostende 5 3 0 2 +0 9
7 Gent 5 2 1 2 +5 7
8 Kortrijk 5 2 1 2 +2 7
9 Mouscron 4 2 1 1 -1 7
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 2 1 1 -1 7
11 Waregem 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Cercle Brugge 6 2 0 4 -6 6
13 Charleroi 4 1 2 1 -1 5
14 St Truiden 6 1 1 4 -9 4
15 Anderlecht 6 0 3 3 -4 3
16 Eupen 5 0 3 2 -8 3
17 Waasland-Beveren 5 0 1 4 -10 1
18 Beveren 5 0 1 4 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,77
B
4,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.