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Pro League
2–1
Full-time
Gent
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mouscron Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
0,5
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,5
4,5
Scored
0,5
3,5
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

6 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 7
15 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mouscron 9. · Gent 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Antwerp 4 3 0 1 +8 9
3 Mechelen 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Standard 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Oostende 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Charleroi 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Gent 2 1 1 0 +5 4
8 Kortrijk 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Mouscron 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Anderlecht 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 Genk 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Waregem 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 St Truiden 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Eupen 4 0 2 2 -8 2
16 Waasland-Beveren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Beveren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
18 Cercle Brugge 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,41
U
3,62
B
2,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.