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Primeira Liga
Referee: Cláudio Pereira
Porto
S U U S S
2–1
Full-time
Santa Clara
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 43%
74%
11%
Points per game
2,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,1
0,6
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Porto 2. · Santa Clara 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 28 23 2 3 +51 71
2 Porto 27 20 4 3 +40 64
3 Sp Braga 27 20 2 5 +36 62
4 Sp Lisbon 27 18 3 6 +30 57
5 Arouca 27 12 8 7 -1 44
6 Guimaraes 28 12 5 11 -6 41
7 Famalicao 28 12 3 13 -5 39
8 Vizela 27 11 5 11 +3 38
9 Casa Pia 27 11 5 11 -5 38
10 Chaves 28 9 9 10 -5 36
11 Rio Ave 27 9 7 11 -4 34
12 Boavista 27 9 6 12 -13 33
13 Gil Vicente 27 8 7 12 -6 31
14 Portimonense 28 9 3 16 -14 30
15 Estoril 28 7 4 17 -21 25
16 Maritimo 28 6 4 18 -27 22
17 Pacos Ferreira 28 4 5 19 -28 17
18 Santa Clara 27 3 6 18 -25 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Porto Santa Clara
17′
🟨 Costinha
20′
🟨 Bruno Jordão
32′
🟨 Ygor Nogueira
33′
🟨 Allano
1–0 M. Uribe
34′
Toni Martínez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
40′
41′
🟨 Pierre Sagna
Half-time 1–0
Iván Marcano 🟨
51′
Evanilson 🔁
↦ S. Eustáquio
57′
63′
🔁 Andrézinho
↦ Allano
André Franco 🔁
↦ Wilson Manafá
67′
D. Namaso 🔁
↦ Toni Martínez
67′
76′
🔁 F. Stevanović
↦ Ricardinho
76′
🔁 Diogo Calila
↦ P. Sagna
2–0 D. Namaso
80′
88′
🔁 K. Tagawa
↦ Matheus Babi
88′
🔁 Gabriel Silva
↦ Costinha
André Franco 🟨
89′
Bernardo Folha 🔁
↦ Galeno
89′
Gonçalo Borges 🔁
↦ Otávio
89′
92′
K. Tagawa 2–1
Gabriel Silva
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
18 Wilson Manafá D
3 Pepe D
5 Iván Marcano D
22 Wendell D
46 S. Eustáquio M
8 M. Uribe M
11 Pepê Aquino M
25 Otávio M
13 Galeno M
29 Toni Martínez F
Bench (9)
30 Evanilson
20 André Franco
19 D. Namaso
87 Bernardo Folha
70 Gonçalo Borges
2 Fábio Cardoso
14 Cláudio Ramos
12 Z. Sanusi
17 Rodrigo Conceição

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
12 Gabriel Batista G
95 P. Sagna D
2 Ygor Nogueira D
4 K. Boateng D
32 MT D
6 Bruno Jordão M
20 Adriano M
10 Ricardinho M
11 Costinha M
7 Allano M
39 Matheus Babi F
Bench (9)
21 Andrézinho
22 F. Stevanović
13 Diogo Calila
9 K. Tagawa
49 Gabriel Silva
19 Bruno Almeida
74 M. Díaz
24 W. González
44 Ítalo

Coach: Accioly

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,11
U
9,17
B
23,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Cláudio Pereira · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.