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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hugo Miguel

Porto

S U S S S

2–1

Full-time

Santa Clara

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Santa Clara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 53%

67%

38%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

58%

42%

Both score Ø 52%

54%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,2

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

17 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 23

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Porto 2. · Santa Clara 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	24	20	4	0	+35	64
2	Porto	24	16	6	2	+28	54
3	Benfica	24	15	6	3	+25	51
4	Sp Braga	24	16	2	6	+19	50
5	Pacos Ferreira	24	13	5	6	+10	44
6	Guimaraes	24	10	5	9	-1	35
7	Santa Clara	24	9	5	10	+1	32
8	Moreirense	24	7	9	8	-7	30
9	Gil Vicente	25	8	4	13	-7	28
10	Rio Ave	25	6	9	10	-9	27
11	Portimonense	25	7	5	13	-4	26
12	Belenenses	24	5	11	8	-7	26
13	Tondela	24	7	4	13	-16	25
14	Famalicao	24	5	8	11	-13	23
15	Farense	24	5	7	12	-9	22
16	Boavista	24	4	9	11	-13	21
17	Nacional	25	5	6	14	-16	21
18	Maritimo	24	6	3	15	-16	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+17	32
2	Benfica	12	9	2	1	+14	29
3	Pacos Ferreira	12	9	2	1	+12	29
4	Sp Braga	12	9	1	2	+11	28
5	Porto	12	8	3	1	+14	27
6	Tondela	12	7	2	3	+3	23
7	Portimonense	12	5	3	4	+5	18
8	Moreirense	12	3	7	2	-1	16
9	Rio Ave	13	4	4	5	-1	16
10	Guimaraes	12	5	1	6	-5	16
11	Santa Clara	12	4	3	5	+1	15
12	Gil Vicente	12	4	2	6	-2	14
13	Belenenses	12	3	5	4	-3	14
14	Farense	12	3	4	5	+0	13
15	Nacional	13	3	3	7	-8	12
16	Boavista	12	3	2	7	-7	11
17	Famalicao	12	1	6	5	-10	9
18	Maritimo	12	2	2	8	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Porto	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	Benfica	12	6	4	2	+11	22
4	Sp Braga	12	7	1	4	+8	22
5	Guimaraes	12	5	4	3	+4	19
6	Santa Clara	12	5	2	5	+0	17
7	Pacos Ferreira	12	4	3	5	-2	15
8	Famalicao	12	4	2	6	-3	14
9	Gil Vicente	13	4	2	7	-5	14
10	Moreirense	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Maritimo	12	4	1	7	-3	13
12	Belenenses	12	2	6	4	-4	12
13	Rio Ave	12	2	5	5	-8	11
14	Boavista	12	1	7	4	-6	10
15	Nacional	12	2	3	7	-8	9
16	Farense	12	2	3	7	-9	9
17	Portimonense	13	2	2	9	-9	8
18	Tondela	12	0	2	10	-19	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.