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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Porto
S T T S S
0–0
Full-time
Inter
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
71%
29%
Both score Ø 22%
29%
14%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,87 xG 0,50
68% Possession 32%
21 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Feb -23 Inter – Porto 1–0

Match report

Porto Inter
33′
🟨 Matteo Darmian
Half-time 0–0
69′
🟨 Edin Džeko
André Franco 🔁
↦ S. Eustáquio
70′
70′
🔁 R. Lukaku
↦ E. Džeko
70′
🔁 D. D'Ambrosio
↦ F. Dimarco
Toni Martínez 🔁
↦ Evanilson
71′
74′
🔁 S. de Vrij
↦ A. Bastoni
Pepê 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 M. Brozović
↦ N. Barella
80′
🔁 M. Škriniar
↦ M. Darmian
D. Namaso 🔁
↦ M. Uribe
85′
Wendell 🔁
↦ Z. Sanusi
85′
89′
🟨 Francesco Acerbi
Pepê 🟨
97′
Pepê 🟥
97′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
11 Pepê Aquino D
2 Fábio Cardoso D
5 Iván Marcano D
12 Z. Sanusi D
16 M. Grujić M
8 M. Uribe M
30 Evanilson M
46 S. Eustáquio M
13 Galeno M
9 M. Taremi F
Bench (12)
20 André Franco
29 Toni Martínez
19 D. Namaso
22 Wendell
4 David Carmo
94 Samuel
87 Bernardo Folha
67 Vasco Sousa
7 Gabriel Veron
14 Cláudio Ramos
70 Gonçalo Borges
17 Rodrigo Conceição

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Inter

3-5-2
24 A. Onana G
36 M. Darmian D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
90 R. Lukaku
33 D. D'Ambrosio
6 S. de Vrij
77 M. Brozović
37 M. Škriniar
45 V. Carboni
11 J. Correa
5 R. Gagliardini
14 K. Asllani
12 R. Bellanova
1 S. Handanovič
21 A. Cordaz

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.