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Serie B

Referee: L Marinelli

Genoa

S S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Perugia

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 41%

53%

28%

Points per game

1,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

38%

41%

Both score Ø 38%

34%

41%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 21

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 2. · Perugia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	32	20	6	6	+31	66
2	Genoa	32	17	10	5	+21	61
3	Bari	32	15	11	6	+20	56
4	Sudtirol	32	13	13	6	+5	52
5	Reggina	32	15	3	14	+6	48
6	Parma	33	13	9	11	+4	48
7	Cagliari	32	11	14	7	+9	47
8	Pisa	32	11	13	8	+12	46
9	Palermo	32	10	13	9	+0	43
10	Modena	33	12	7	14	-1	43
11	Como	32	9	13	10	-2	40
12	Ternana	32	10	10	12	-8	40
13	Ascoli	32	10	9	13	-7	39
14	Venezia	32	9	9	14	-8	36
15	Cittadella	32	8	12	12	-12	36
16	Cosenza	32	9	9	14	-21	36
17	Perugia	32	9	7	16	-5	34
18	Spal	32	7	11	14	-9	32
19	Brescia	32	7	10	15	-21	31
20	Benevento	32	6	11	15	-14	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	16	12	2	2	+21	38
2	Genoa	16	9	6	1	+15	33
3	Cagliari	16	9	5	2	+9	32
4	Palermo	16	7	6	3	+7	27
5	Pisa	16	7	5	4	+10	26
6	Como	16	7	5	4	+6	26
7	Parma	16	8	2	6	+6	26
8	Reggina	16	8	2	6	+5	26
9	Ternana	15	7	5	3	+4	26
10	Sudtirol	17	6	8	3	+3	26
11	Cosenza	16	7	5	4	+3	26
12	Bari	16	6	7	3	+10	25
13	Modena	16	6	6	4	+7	24
14	Perugia	16	5	5	6	+0	20
15	Brescia	17	5	5	7	-6	20
16	Cittadella	16	4	7	5	-4	19
17	Spal	16	4	5	7	-1	17
18	Ascoli	16	4	5	7	-4	17
19	Venezia	16	4	5	7	-5	17
20	Benevento	16	3	4	9	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	16	9	4	3	+10	31
2	Frosinone	16	8	4	4	+10	28
3	Genoa	16	8	4	4	+6	28
4	Sudtirol	15	7	5	3	+2	26
5	Reggina	16	7	1	8	+1	22
6	Parma	17	5	7	5	-2	22
7	Ascoli	16	6	4	6	-3	22
8	Pisa	16	4	8	4	+2	20
9	Venezia	16	5	4	7	-3	19
10	Modena	17	6	1	10	-8	19
11	Cittadella	16	4	5	7	-8	17
12	Benevento	16	3	7	6	-4	16
13	Palermo	16	3	7	6	-7	16
14	Cagliari	16	2	9	5	+0	15
15	Spal	16	3	6	7	-8	15
16	Perugia	16	4	2	10	-5	14
17	Como	16	2	8	6	-8	14
18	Ternana	17	3	5	9	-12	14
19	Brescia	15	2	5	8	-15	11
20	Cosenza	16	2	4	10	-24	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.