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Ligue 2
Referee: R Buquet
Nimes
T S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Le Havre
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 40%
27%
53%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
43%
27%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 19. · Le Havre 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 30 16 13 1 +26 61
2 Bordeaux 31 16 8 7 +16 56
3 Metz 31 15 10 6 +21 55
4 Sochaux 30 15 7 8 +23 52
5 Bastia 30 14 6 10 +1 48
6 Grenoble 30 13 8 9 +5 47
7 Caen 30 12 10 8 +5 46
8 St Etienne 30 11 9 10 +2 42
9 Quevilly Rouen 30 11 9 10 +1 42
10 Paris FC 30 11 7 12 -2 40
11 Amiens 30 11 7 12 -5 40
12 Guingamp 30 10 9 11 -2 39
13 Annecy 30 9 9 12 -7 36
14 Rodez 30 8 10 12 -8 34
15 Pau FC 30 8 10 12 -10 34
16 Valenciennes 30 7 12 11 -8 33
17 Laval 30 9 4 17 -12 31
18 Dijon 30 7 8 15 -10 29
19 Nimes 30 8 5 17 -12 29
20 Niort 30 7 5 18 -24 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Le Havre
Pablo Pagis 🟨
22′
32′
🔁 S. Grandsir
↦ Q. Cornette
J. Thomasen 🔁
↦ G. Fofana
36′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 N. Alioui
↦ J. Thiaré
Benoît Poulain 🟨
48′
49′
V. Lekhal 0–1
63′
🔁 Y. Kitala
↦ A. Joujou
J. N'Guessan 🔁
↦ N. Benezet
66′
K. Guessoum 🔁
↦ R. Labonne
66′
Steve Ambri 🔁
↦ R. Saïd
74′
78′
🔁 A. Confais
↦ A. Richardson
78′
🔁 N. Chadli
↦ N. Mbemba
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nimes

4-4-2
1 A. Maraval G
17 R. Labonne D
6 B. Poulain D
4 M. de Gevigney D
97 P. Burner D
11 P. Pagis M
76 G. Fofana M
28 J. Lopy M
15 R. Saïd M
10 N. Benezet F
18 M. Tchokounté F
Bench (7)
14 J. Thomasen
21 J. N'Guessan
2 K. Guessoum
9 Steve Ambri
22 M. Zerkane
8 T. Vargas
16 L. Dias

Coach: F. Bompard

Le Havre

4-3-3
1 M. Gorgelin G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
23 J. Casimir D
24 A. Richardson M
22 V. Lekhal M
18 N. Mbemba M
21 A. Joujou F
14 J. Thiaré F
11 Q. Cornette F
Bench (7)
29 S. Grandsir
10 N. Alioui
9 Y. Kitala
25 A. Confais
3 N. Chadli
92 E. Kinkoue
16 M. Koné

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,44
U
3,01
B ✓
2,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,50
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.