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Championship

Referee: S Martin

Sunderland

S T U U S

2–1

Full-time

Birmingham

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Championship · 39/41 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

54%

41%

Both score Ø 51%

56%

46%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%

13 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

3 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sunderland 10. · Birmingham 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	40	26	12	2	+48	90
2	Sheffield United	41	24	7	10	+28	79
3	Middlesbrough	41	21	8	12	+29	71
4	Luton	38	19	11	8	+15	68
5	Millwall	41	17	11	13	+7	62
6	Blackburn	40	19	5	16	-2	62
7	Preston	41	17	11	13	-4	62
8	Norwich	42	17	10	15	+8	61
9	West Brom	40	15	12	13	+6	57
10	Sunderland	39	15	11	13	+8	56
11	Watford	41	14	14	13	+2	56
12	Coventry	39	14	13	12	+5	55
13	Bristol City	41	13	14	14	+0	53
14	Swansea	41	14	11	16	-3	53
15	Stoke	41	14	10	17	+6	52
16	Hull	41	13	13	15	-9	52
17	Birmingham	41	13	11	17	-7	50
18	Reading	41	13	8	20	-19	47
19	Rotherham	40	10	15	15	-8	45
20	Huddersfield	41	11	10	20	-18	43
21	QPR	41	11	10	20	-24	43
22	Cardiff	41	11	9	21	-16	42
23	Wigan	41	8	13	20	-28	37
24	Blackpool	41	8	11	22	-24	35

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	21	15	6	0	+32	51
2	Middlesbrough	21	12	6	3	+25	42
3	Sheffield United	20	13	3	4	+22	42
4	Blackburn	19	13	1	5	+9	40
5	West Brom	21	10	7	4	+11	37
6	Millwall	20	10	6	4	+12	36
7	Reading	20	10	5	5	+7	35
8	Luton	20	9	7	4	+9	34
9	Watford	20	9	6	5	+10	33
10	Bristol City	21	8	7	6	+6	31
11	Coventry	19	8	6	5	+2	30
12	Rotherham	19	8	5	6	+9	29
13	Norwich	21	8	5	8	+4	29
14	Hull	21	8	5	8	-4	29
15	Swansea	20	8	4	8	+2	28
16	Birmingham	21	7	6	8	+2	27
17	Huddersfield	21	7	6	8	-2	27
18	Preston	21	7	6	8	-5	27
19	Sunderland	19	6	6	7	-1	24
20	Cardiff	21	6	6	9	-3	24
21	Stoke	20	6	5	9	+1	23
22	QPR	20	6	4	10	-9	22
23	Blackpool	20	5	6	9	-4	21
24	Wigan	21	4	6	11	-19	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	19	11	6	2	+16	39
2	Sheffield United	21	11	4	6	+6	37
3	Preston	20	10	5	5	+1	35
4	Luton	18	10	4	4	+6	34
5	Sunderland	20	9	5	6	+9	32
6	Norwich	21	9	5	7	+4	32
7	Stoke	21	8	5	8	+5	29
8	Middlesbrough	20	9	2	9	+4	29
9	Millwall	21	7	5	9	-5	26
10	Coventry	20	6	7	7	+3	25
11	Swansea	21	6	7	8	-5	25
12	Hull	20	5	8	7	-5	23
13	Watford	21	5	8	8	-8	23
14	Birmingham	20	6	5	9	-9	23
15	Bristol City	20	5	7	8	-6	22
16	Blackburn	21	6	4	11	-11	22
17	QPR	21	5	6	10	-15	21
18	West Brom	19	5	5	9	-5	20
19	Wigan	20	4	7	9	-9	19
20	Cardiff	20	5	3	12	-13	18
21	Huddersfield	20	4	4	12	-16	16
22	Rotherham	21	2	10	9	-17	16
23	Blackpool	21	3	5	13	-20	14
24	Reading	21	3	3	15	-26	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.