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Championship
Referee: D Webb
4–1
Full-time
Cardiff
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Championship · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 43%
58%
28%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
40%
28%
Both score Ø 38%
40%
35%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 2. · Cardiff 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 40 26 12 2 +48 90
2 Sheffield United 40 23 7 10 +25 76
3 Middlesbrough 41 21 8 12 +29 71
4 Luton 38 19 11 8 +15 68
5 Millwall 41 17 11 13 +7 62
6 Blackburn 40 19 5 16 -2 62
7 Preston 41 17 11 13 -4 62
8 Norwich 42 17 10 15 +8 61
9 West Brom 40 15 12 13 +6 57
10 Sunderland 39 15 11 13 +8 56
11 Watford 41 14 14 13 +2 56
12 Coventry 39 14 13 12 +5 55
13 Bristol City 41 13 14 14 +0 53
14 Swansea 41 14 11 16 -3 53
15 Stoke 41 14 10 17 +6 52
16 Hull 41 13 13 15 -9 52
17 Birmingham 41 13 11 17 -7 50
18 Reading 41 13 8 20 -19 47
19 Rotherham 40 10 15 15 -8 45
20 Huddersfield 41 11 10 20 -18 43
21 QPR 41 11 10 20 -24 43
22 Cardiff 40 11 9 20 -13 42
23 Wigan 41 8 13 20 -28 37
24 Blackpool 41 8 11 22 -24 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Cardiff
4′
🟨 Jack Simpson
Max Lowe 🟨
17′
19′
S. Kaba 0–1
1–1 J. McAtee
S. Berge
24′
Sander Berge 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 C. O'Dowda
↦ J. Simpson
52′
🟨 Callum O'Dowda
2–1 J. Robinson
T. Doyle
54′
George Baldock 🟨
57′
61′
🔁 C. Wickham
↦ K. Etete
J. Fleck 🔁
↦ J. McAtee
75′
C. Clark 🔁
↦ J. Bogle
79′
O. Norwood 🔁
↦ T. Doyle
79′
3–1 I. Ndiaye
80′
B. Sharp 🔁
↦ O. McBurnie
81′
D. Jebbison 🔁
↦ I. Ndiaye
82′
4–1 C. Clark
S. Berge
85′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sheffield United

3-4-2-1
1 A. Davies G
2 G. Baldock D
12 J. Egan D
19 J. Robinson D
20 J. Bogle M
8 S. Berge M
22 T. Doyle M
13 M. Lowe M
28 J. McAtee F
29 I. Ndiaye F
9 O. McBurnie F
Bench (7)
4 J. Fleck
26 C. Clark
16 O. Norwood
10 B. Sharp
36 D. Jebbison
30 O. Arblaster
21 M. Dewhurst

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Cardiff

3-4-3
1 R. Allsop G
5 M. McGuinness D
23 C. Kipré D
26 J. Simpson D
38 P. Ng M
35 A. Rinomhota M
6 R. Wintle M
8 J. Ralls M
25 J. Philogene F
48 S. Kaba F
9 K. Etete F
Bench (7)
11 C. O'Dowda
31 C. Wickham
2 M. Romeo
21 J. Alnwick
10 S. Ojo
39 I. Davies
19 R. Sawyers

Coach: S. Lamouchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
3,94
B
6,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.