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Primeira Liga

Referee: Miguel Nogueira

Porto

T S S U U

1–0

Full-time

Portimonense

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 52%

72%

32%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

52%

36%

Both score Ø 38%

48%

28%

Average goals

2,9

2,0

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

72% Possession 28%

17 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Porto 3. · Portimonense 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	26	23	2	1	+53	71
2	Sp Braga	26	19	2	5	+33	59
3	Porto	25	18	4	3	+38	58
4	Sp Lisbon	25	17	2	6	+29	53
5	Guimaraes	26	12	5	9	-4	41
6	Arouca	25	10	8	7	-3	38
7	Casa Pia	26	11	5	10	-4	38
8	Vizela	26	10	5	11	+2	35
9	Rio Ave	26	9	6	11	-4	33
10	Famalicao	25	10	3	12	-7	33
11	Chaves	26	8	8	10	-6	32
12	Boavista	26	8	6	12	-14	30
13	Gil Vicente	25	8	5	12	-6	29
14	Portimonense	25	8	2	15	-14	26
15	Estoril	26	7	4	15	-17	25
16	Maritimo	26	5	4	17	-28	19
17	Pacos Ferreira	26	4	5	17	-24	17
18	Santa Clara	26	3	6	17	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	13	12	1	0	+32	37
2	Sp Lisbon	13	11	0	2	+28	33
3	Porto	12	10	0	2	+26	30
4	Guimaraes	14	8	3	3	+4	27
5	Sp Braga	12	8	2	2	+17	26
6	Arouca	13	7	2	4	+3	23
7	Rio Ave	13	7	1	5	+4	22
8	Famalicao	12	7	1	4	+4	22
9	Casa Pia	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Boavista	13	5	5	3	-1	20
11	Vizela	13	5	2	6	+1	17
12	Portimonense	13	5	2	6	-2	17
13	Gil Vicente	12	4	4	4	+0	16
14	Chaves	13	3	5	5	-2	14
15	Maritimo	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Estoril	13	4	2	7	-10	14
17	Santa Clara	13	2	4	7	-12	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	13	2	2	9	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	13	11	1	1	+21	34
2	Sp Braga	14	11	0	3	+16	33
3	Porto	13	8	4	1	+12	28
4	Sp Lisbon	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	Vizela	13	5	3	5	+1	18
6	Chaves	13	5	3	5	-4	18
7	Casa Pia	13	5	2	6	-7	17
8	Arouca	12	3	6	3	-6	15
9	Guimaraes	12	4	2	6	-8	14
10	Gil Vicente	13	4	1	8	-6	13
11	Estoril	13	3	2	8	-7	11
12	Rio Ave	13	2	5	6	-8	11
13	Famalicao	13	3	2	8	-11	11
14	Boavista	13	3	1	9	-13	10
15	Pacos Ferreira	13	2	3	8	-10	9
16	Portimonense	12	3	0	9	-12	9
17	Santa Clara	13	1	2	10	-12	5
18	Maritimo	13	1	2	10	-24	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.