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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Fenerbahce
T S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Ankaragücü
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 50%
69%
31%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
73%
54%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
62%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
19 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 26
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Ankaragücü 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 27 21 3 3 +41 66
2 Fenerbahce 26 18 3 5 +34 57
3 Besiktas 27 16 7 4 +24 55
4 Ad. Demirspor 28 14 9 5 +26 51
5 Buyuksehyr 27 13 6 8 +8 45
6 Trabzonspor 27 13 5 9 +7 44
7 Kayserispor 28 14 2 12 +0 44
8 Konyaspor 27 8 12 7 +2 36
9 Karagumruk 26 8 10 8 +4 34
10 Antalyaspor 27 9 5 13 -6 32
11 Alanyaspor 28 8 8 12 -10 32
12 Kasimpasa 28 9 5 14 -13 32
13 Sivasspor 27 8 7 12 -4 31
14 Ankaragücü 26 8 4 14 -10 28
15 İstanbulspor 27 8 3 16 -22 27
16 Ümraniyespor 28 6 8 14 -9 26
17 Gaziantep 28 6 7 15 -17 25
18 Giresunspor 26 5 9 12 -21 24
19 Hatayspor 26 6 5 15 -34 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Ankaragücü
Half-time 0–0
İsmail Yüksek 🟨
46′
João Pedro 🔁
↦ S. Dursun
46′
46′
🔁 A. Đokanović
↦ G. Zahid
Willian Arão 🔁
↦ İ. Yüksek
64′
E. Mor 🔁
↦ D. Rossi
64′
64′
🔁 Milson
↦ E. Kılınç
72′
🟨 Lamine Diack
74′
🟨 Andrej Đokanović
Miguel Crespo 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
78′
İ. Kahveci 🔁
↦ A. Güler
78′
81′
A. Sowe 0–1
84′
🟨 Matěj Hanousek
85′
🟨 Atakan Cankaya
86′
🟨 Stelios Kitsiou
87′
🔁 F. Üzüm
↦ S. Kitsiou
1–1 E. Valencia
87′
2–1 Miguel Crespo
96′
98′
🟨 Nihad Mujakić
99′
🔁 B. Moussiti-Oko
↦ T. Antalyalı
Bright Osayi-Samuel 🟨
100′
101′
🟨 Milson
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-4-2
70 İ. Eğribayat G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
3 S. Akaydin D
41 A. Szalai D
6 E. Alioski D
10 A. Güler M
80 İ. Yüksek M
26 M. Zajc M
9 D. Rossi M
13 E. Valencia F
19 S. Dursun F
Bench (10)
20 João Pedro
5 Willian Arão
99 E. Mor
27 Miguel Crespo
17 İ. Kahveci
24 J. Oosterwolde
8 M. Yandaş
54 E. Çetin
4 S. Aziz
30 N. Sangaré

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Ankaragücü

5-4-1
32 G. Akkan G
17 S. Kitsiou D
24 K. Malcuit D
4 A. Çankaya D
18 N. Mujakić D
5 M. Hanousek D
48 T. Antalyalı M
19 G. Zahid M
14 L. Diack M
54 E. Kılınç M
22 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
16 A. Đokanović
70 Milson
88 F. Üzüm
29 B. Moussiti-Oko
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
37 A. Kızıldağ
8 Pedrinho
33 H. Kaldırım
80 S. İmdat
99 B. Güngördü

Coach: T. Kafkas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
5,22
B
8,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.