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Serie B
Referee: M Volpi
Cagliari
U S S U U
0–0
Full-time
Frosinone
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 49%
34%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
34%
41%
Both score Ø 44%
53%
34%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 7. · Frosinone 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 32 20 6 6 +31 66
2 Genoa 33 18 10 5 +23 64
3 Bari 33 15 12 6 +20 57
4 Sudtirol 33 13 13 7 +4 52
5 Reggina 33 15 4 14 +6 49
6 Parma 33 13 9 11 +4 48
7 Cagliari 32 11 14 7 +9 47
8 Pisa 32 11 13 8 +12 46
9 Modena 33 12 7 14 -1 43
10 Palermo 33 10 13 10 -1 43
11 Ascoli 33 11 9 13 -6 42
12 Como 33 9 14 10 -2 41
13 Ternana 32 10 10 12 -8 40
14 Venezia 33 10 9 14 -7 39
15 Cittadella 33 8 13 12 -12 37
16 Cosenza 33 9 10 14 -21 37
17 Perugia 33 9 7 17 -7 34
18 Spal 33 7 12 14 -9 33
19 Brescia 33 7 11 15 -21 32
20 Benevento 33 6 12 15 -14 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Frosinone
16′
🟨 Luca Mazzitelli
16′
🟨 Fabio Lucioni
N. Prelec 🔁
↦ M. Mancosu
31′
33′
🟨 Marcus Rohdén
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Giuseppe Caso
Gianluca Lapadula ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
59′
63′
🔁 J. Báez
↦ R. Insigne
63′
🔁 B. Kone
↦ L. Mazzitelli
64′
🔁 G. Borrelli
↦ L. Moro
Zito Luvumbo 🔁
↦ F. Falco
69′
75′
🔁 S. Bidaoui
↦ G. Caso
A. Di Pardo 🔁
↦ G. Zappa
79′
A. Deiola 🔁
↦ N. Lella
79′
Nahitan Nández 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-1-2
1 B. Radunović G
28 G. Zappa D
4 A. Dossena D
33 A. Obert D
37 Paulo Azzi D
8 N. Nández M
29 A. Makoumbou M
23 N. Lella M
5 M. Mancosu M
25 F. Falco F
9 G. Lapadula F
Bench (12)
20 N. Prelec
77 Zito Luvumbo
99 A. Di Pardo
14 A. Deiola
3 E. Goldaniga
10 N. Viola
18 S. Aresti
19 V. Millico
39 C. Kourfalidis
6 M. Rog
15 G. Altare
30 L. Pavoletti

Coach: C. Ranieri

Frosinone

4-3-3
22 S. Turati G
31 M. Sampirisi D
5 F. Lucioni D
20 L. Ravanelli D
2 A. Oyono D
7 M. Rohdén M
36 L. Mazzitelli M
11 D. Boloca M
94 R. Insigne F
24 L. Moro F
10 G. Caso F
Bench (12)
32 J. Báez
4 B. Kone
90 G. Borrelli
26 S. Bidaoui
27 A. Selvini
14 F. Gelli
29 M. Cotali
23 S. Kalaj
6 K. Kujabi
16 L. Garritano
30 I. Monterisi
1 L. Loria

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U ✓
3,08
B
2,99
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Volpi · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.