Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Gil Vicente
Vizela
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | +39 | 53 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | +35 | 48 |
| 3 |
Sp Braga
|
20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | +25 | 46 |
| 4 |
Sp Lisbon
|
20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | +19 | 38 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes
|
20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 |
Casa Pia
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 31 |
| 7 |
Arouca
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 30 |
| 8 |
Chaves
|
20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 |
Boavista
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 |
Vizela
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | +2 | 25 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 24 |
| 12 |
Portimonense
|
20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 13 |
Gil Vicente
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 14 |
Estoril
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -8 | 22 |
| 15 |
Famalicao
|
20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 |
Santa Clara
|
20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 |
Maritimo
|
20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -24 | 13 |
| 18 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | -24 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Famalicao
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
Arouca
Pacos Ferreira
Gil Vicente
Casa Pia
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
Guimaraes
Ricardo Baixinho · 37 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.