Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Vizela
Chaves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | +39 | 53 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | +34 | 45 |
| 3 |
Sp Braga
|
19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | +24 | 43 |
| 4 |
Sp Lisbon
|
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | +20 | 38 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes
|
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 |
Casa Pia
|
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 |
Arouca
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 |
Chaves
|
19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 |
Boavista
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 25 |
| 10 |
Vizela
|
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | +2 | 24 |
| 11 |
Portimonense
|
19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 23 |
| 12 |
Estoril
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 |
Rio Ave
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -6 | 21 |
| 14 |
Famalicao
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -9 | 21 |
| 15 |
Gil Vicente
|
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -8 | 19 |
| 16 |
Santa Clara
|
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -11 | 15 |
| 17 |
Maritimo
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -23 | 13 |
| 18 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | -24 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Igor Julião
D
Ivanildo Fernandes
D
Raphael Guzzo
M
Samú
M
Kiko Bondoso
M
M. Osmajić
F
Coach: Tulipa
Coach: Vítor Campelos
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Porto
Vizela
Vizela
Rio Ave
Sp Lisbon
Vizela
Vizela
Maritimo
Famalicao
Vizela
Bruno José Costa · 10 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.