Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Vizela
Sp Braga
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | +45 | 62 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | +38 | 57 |
| 3 |
Sp Braga
|
23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | +28 | 52 |
| 4 |
Sp Lisbon
|
23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | +23 | 47 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes
|
24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +0 | 40 |
| 6 |
Arouca
|
24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 |
Casa Pia
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 35 |
| 8 |
Boavista
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -8 | 30 |
| 9 |
Vizela
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |
Gil Vicente
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 |
Chaves
|
24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 |
Rio Ave
|
23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 |
Portimonense
|
24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 |
Estoril
|
24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 |
Maritimo
|
23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -25 | 16 |
| 17 |
Santa Clara
|
24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 15 |
| 18 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -24 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ivanildo Fernandes
D
Raphael Guzzo
M
Samú
M
Kiko Bondoso
M
M. Osmajić
F
Coach: Tulipa
Víctor Gómez
D
S. Saatçı
D
Ricardo Horta
M
Bruma
M
Abel Ruiz
F
Coach: Artur Jorge
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Estoril
Vizela
Vizela
Benfica
Gil Vicente
Vizela
Vizela
Chaves
Porto
Vizela
Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.