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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Gil Vicente
U T S U T
0–1
Full-time
Maritimo
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
31%
69%
Both score Ø 58%
46%
69%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 9
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
19 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gil Vicente 14. · Maritimo 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 14 11 3 0 +22 36
2 Porto 14 10 2 2 +19 32
3 Benfica 14 10 2 2 +15 32
4 Sp Braga 14 9 0 5 +8 27
5 Pacos Ferreira 14 7 4 3 +7 25
6 Guimaraes 12 6 2 4 +3 20
7 Moreirense 14 4 5 5 -4 17
8 Santa Clara 14 4 3 7 -5 15
9 Rio Ave 14 3 6 5 -6 15
10 Tondela 14 4 3 7 -10 15
11 Maritimo 13 4 2 7 -3 14
12 Famalicao 14 3 5 6 -9 14
13 Nacional 13 3 4 6 -5 13
14 Gil Vicente 13 3 4 6 -5 13
15 Farense 13 3 3 7 -4 12
16 Belenenses 13 2 6 5 -5 12
17 Portimonense 13 3 2 8 -8 11
18 Boavista 14 1 8 5 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gil Vicente Maritimo
João Afonso 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Léo
64′
🟨 Jean
65′
🔁 Rúben Macedo
↦ Milson
65′
🔁 A. Alipour
↦ J. Tagueu
Alaa Abbas 🔁
↦ Y. Baraye
72′
73′
🟨 Franck Bambock
75′
🟨 Ruben Macedo
77′
🔁 Pedro Pelágio
↦ Jean
77′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ R. Guitane
83′
🟨 Marcelo Hermes
Boubacar Hanne 🔁
↦ Lourency
84′
Vitor Carvalho 🔁
↦ Claude Gonçalves
84′
86′
🔁 Fábio China
↦ Marcelo Hermes
87′
Lucas Áfrico 0–1
Rúben Macedo
Leandrinho 🔁
↦ João Afonso
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
1 Denis G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
31 Talocha D
44 Ygor Nogueira D
2 Joel Pereira D
6 João Afonso M
8 Claude Gonçalves M
25 Lucas Mineiro M
22 Y. Baraye F
7 Lourency F
29 Samuel Lino F
Bench (9)
10 Alaa Abbas
17 Boubacar Hanne
21 Vitor Carvalho
27 Leandrinho
20 K. Fujimoto
24 Q. Beunardeau
97 Guilherme Mantuan
5 Rodrigão
16 J. Ruiz

Coach: Rui Almeida

Maritimo

3-4-1-2
1 A. Abedzadeh G
5 Zainadine Júnior D
2 Cláudio Winck M
86 Marcelo Hermes M
4 Lucas Áfrico D
66 Léo Andrade D
18 F. Bambock M
6 Jean M
17 Milson
95 J. Tagueu F
7 R. Guitane F
Bench (9)
23 Rúben Macedo
70 A. Alipour
60 Pedro Pelágio
8 J. Correa
45 Fábio China
15 D. Kerkez
11 F. Fumu Tamuzo
22 Caio Secco
12 Edgar Costa

Coach: Milton Mendes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U
3,12
B ✓
3,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.