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Eredivisie
Referee: I Oostrom
2–2
Full-time
Nijmegen
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,2
3,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
41%
35%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
59%
76%
Both score Ø 65%
53%
76%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,7
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,20 xG 2,80
47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 7. · Nijmegen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 18 1 0 +54 +42.6 55
2 Feyenoord 18 13 3 2 +35 +36.8 42
3 Twente 18 11 4 3 +15 +11.9 37
4 AZ Alkmaar 19 10 5 4 +20 +12.1 35
5 Ajax 19 10 4 5 +11 +8.9 34
6 Sparta Rotterdam 19 7 5 7 +0 -4.3 26
7 Go Ahead Eagles 17 7 4 6 +4 -7.2 25
8 Nijmegen 17 6 6 5 +4 -12.4 24
9 Zwolle 19 6 5 8 -4 -5.5 23
10 Excelsior 19 4 9 6 -4 -9.4 21
11 Heerenveen 19 6 3 10 -9 -3.6 21
12 Utrecht 19 4 8 7 -9 -9.2 20
13 For Sittard 18 5 5 8 -13 -1.0 20
14 Almere City 19 5 5 9 -17 -9.2 20
15 Heracles 19 5 4 10 -20 -13.4 19
16 Waalwijk 19 4 3 12 -17 -6.9 15
17 Volendam 18 3 3 12 -23 -13.6 12
18 Vitesse 19 3 3 13 -27 -16.5 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U ✓
3,64
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.