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Eredivisie
Referee: E Blank
5–1
Full-time
Vitesse
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
70%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,67 xG 0,59
40% Possession 60%
22 Shots 13
14 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 5. · Vitesse 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 11 0 0 +36 +27.0 33
2 Feyenoord 11 8 2 1 +26 +24.0 26
3 AZ Alkmaar 10 8 2 0 +21 +9.5 26
4 Twente 10 8 1 1 +14 +7.2 25
5 Go Ahead Eagles 10 4 3 3 +2 -8.2 15
6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 4 3 3 -1 -3.9 15
7 Excelsior 11 3 5 3 -1 -2.1 14
8 Heracles 11 3 3 5 -14 -9.8 12
9 Zwolle 10 3 2 5 -5 -3.3 11
10 Heerenveen 10 3 1 6 -8 -5.0 10
11 For Sittard 10 2 4 4 -9 -0.8 10
12 Nijmegen 9 2 3 4 -2 -6.8 9
13 Waalwijk 10 3 0 7 -11 -6.0 9
14 Almere City 10 2 3 5 -11 -3.8 9
15 Ajax 9 2 2 5 -6 -3.2 8
16 Vitesse 10 2 2 6 -9 -3.8 8
17 Volendam 10 2 1 7 -10 -2.5 7
18 Utrecht 10 2 1 7 -12 -8.5 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Vitesse
19′
🟨 Said Hamulić
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
23′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Voelkerling Persson
↦ S. Hamulić
46′
🔁 A. Boutrah
↦ K. Kozłowski
46′
🔁 M. Tielemans
↦ E. Cornelisse
1–0 W. Willumsson
B. Kuipers
47′
2–0 O. Edvardsen
60′
3–0 V. Edvardsen
62′
E. Llansana 🔁
↦ P. Rommens
73′
S. Sow 🔁
↦ V. Edvardsen
73′
B. Adekanye 🔁
↦ O. Edvardsen
73′
73′
🔁 C. Arcus
↦ D. Oroz
77′
🟨 Ramon Hendriks
78′
M. van Ginkel 3–1
4–1 W. Willumsson
J. Breum
80′
83′
🟨 Joel Voelkerling Persson
5–1 J. Kramer
B. Adekanye
86′
T. Baeten 🔁
↦ W. Willumsson
87′
R. Fernandes 🔁
↦ J. Breum
87′
88′
🟨 Amine Boutrah
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
4 J. Kramer D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 E. Linthorst M
10 P. Rommens M
29 J. Breum M
18 W. Willumsson M
23 O. Edvardsen M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (11)
21 E. Llansana
9 S. Sow
11 B. Adekanye
32 T. Baeten
7 R. Fernandes
28 P. Saathof
3 G. Nauber
22 E. Mulder
17 Darío Serra
14 A. Aventisian
33 N. Verdoni

Coach: R. Hake

Vitesse

4-2-3-1
1 E. Room G
6 D. Oroz D
29 N. Isimat-Mirin D
15 R. Hendriks D
5 M. Pinto D
20 M. Meulensteen M
13 E. Cornelisse M
17 K. Kozłowski M
8 M. van Ginkel M
42 M. Manhoef M
10 S. Hamulić F
Bench (10)
9 J. Voelkerling Persson
7 A. Boutrah
21 M. Tielemans
2 C. Arcus
56 M. Egbring
31 M. Schubert
25 G. de Regt
55 T. Bramel
22 T. Domgjoni
43 G. van Zwam

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
U
3,75
B
3,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.