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Serie B

Referee: D Doveri

Sampdoria

T U S T T

1–0

Full-time

Palermo

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 39%

18%

60%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

45%

60%

Both score Ø 62%

73%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

16 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 8

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 16. · Palermo 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	11	8	2	1	+14	26
2	Venezia	12	7	3	2	+7	24
3	Modena	12	6	4	2	+3	22
4	Catanzaro	12	6	3	3	+3	21
5	Palermo	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	Como	11	5	3	3	+1	18
7	Bari	12	3	8	1	+2	17
8	Sudtirol	10	4	4	2	+5	16
9	Cosenza	12	4	4	4	+3	16
10	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+2	16
11	Cittadella	12	4	4	4	-3	16
12	Reggiana	11	3	5	3	-1	14
13	Brescia	10	3	4	3	+1	13
14	Pisa	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Ascoli	12	3	3	6	-3	12
16	Sampdoria	11	2	3	6	-5	9
17	Spezia	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Lecco	9	2	1	6	-8	7
19	Ternana	12	1	3	8	-6	6
20	FeralpiSalo	12	1	3	8	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Venezia	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	-1	11
4	Catanzaro	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Como	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Modena	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	+4	8
8	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Bari	6	1	5	0	+1	8
10	Palermo	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Ascoli	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Reggiana	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	Brescia	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Ternana	7	1	2	4	-1	5
15	Pisa	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Spezia	5	0	3	2	-2	3
17	Sampdoria	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	FeralpiSalo	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Lecco	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Cremonese	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Parma	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Modena	6	3	3	0	+3	12
5	Venezia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Catanzaro	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Bari	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Como	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Pisa	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Brescia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
14	Lecco	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Sampdoria	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Cittadella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
18	Ascoli	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	FeralpiSalo	7	1	2	4	-10	5
20	Ternana	5	0	1	4	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.