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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

Nijmegen

S U T S S

1–1

Full-time

Ajax

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,0

4,2

Scored

2,2

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

21%

64%

Points per game

1,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

29%

79%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

2,5

4,4

Scored

1,4

3,1

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

33% Possession 67%

6 Shots 21

1 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 9

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 11. · Ajax 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	10	4	1	+22	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	10	1	4	+22	31
3	Ajax	14	9	3	2	+27	30
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	9	3	3	+9	30
5	Twente	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Sparta Rotterdam	13	7	3	3	+11	24
7	Utrecht	14	6	4	4	+0	22
8	Heerenveen	14	5	6	3	+2	21
9	Go Ahead Eagles	15	4	6	5	-1	18
10	Waalwijk	15	4	6	5	-3	18
11	Nijmegen	14	3	8	3	+3	17
12	For Sittard	15	4	3	8	-9	15
13	Vitesse	15	3	5	7	-13	14
14	Excelsior	14	4	1	9	-21	13
15	Groningen	14	3	3	8	-12	12
16	FC Emmen	15	2	5	8	-16	11
17	Cambuur	14	2	2	10	-13	8
18	Volendam	14	1	3	10	-26	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+18	19
3	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+14	17
4	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5	0	2	+9	15
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+19	14
6	Waalwijk	8	3	3	2	+5	12
7	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Excelsior	6	3	0	3	-3	9
11	Nijmegen	7	1	5	1	+4	8
12	Heerenveen	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	FC Emmen	7	1	5	1	-2	8
14	Groningen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	For Sittard	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Vitesse	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	Cambuur	7	1	0	6	-6	3
18	Volendam	7	1	0	6	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	0	2	+7	18
2	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Heerenveen	8	3	4	1	+2	13
5	Utrecht	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	0	3	+4	12
7	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Nijmegen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Vitesse	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Waalwijk	7	1	3	3	-8	6
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-9	5
16	Excelsior	8	1	1	6	-18	4
17	Volendam	7	0	3	4	-13	3
18	FC Emmen	8	1	0	7	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.