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Coupe de France
Referee: R Buquet
1–7
Full-time
Toulouse
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lannion Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 13
3 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
7 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 3 3 0 0 +13 9
2 Paris FC 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Belfort 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Grenoble 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Pau FC 3 3 0 0 +5 9
6 Le Puy Foot 3 3 0 0 +4 9
7 Stade Plabennec 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 Grasse 3 3 0 0 +4 9
9 Niort 3 2 1 0 +4 7
10 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
11 Évreux 27 4 2 1 1 -2 7
12 Vierzon FC 2 2 0 0 +8 6
13 Dunkerque 2 2 0 0 +7 6
14 Nimes 3 2 0 1 +6 6
15 Granville 3 2 0 1 +5 6
16 Bordeaux 3 2 0 1 +3 6
17 Chateauroux 3 2 0 1 +2 6
18 Avoine OCC 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Metz 3 2 0 1 +1 6
20 Avranches 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 Olympique St Quentin 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 La Châtaigneraie 3 2 0 1 -2 6
23 Amiens 3 1 2 0 +10 5
24 Chamalières 3 1 2 0 +3 5
25 Thaon 3 1 2 0 +3 5
26 Bastia 3 1 2 0 +3 5
27 Rodez 3 1 2 0 +1 5
28 Les Herbiers 2 1 1 0 +5 4
29 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +3 4
30 Aubagne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
31 Caen 2 1 1 0 +3 4
32 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
33 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 Saint-Estève Perpignan 2 1 1 0 +2 4
35 Limonest 2 1 1 0 +2 4
36 Bellevue Nantes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
37 Valenciennes 3 1 1 1 +1 4
38 Jura Sud Foot 3 1 1 1 +1 4
39 Reipertswiller 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Chambéry 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Pays de Cassel 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Drancy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Bergerac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Stade Pontivy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 La Tamponnaise 3 1 1 1 +0 4
46 Linas-Montlhery 3 1 1 1 -1 4
47 Villerupt Thil 3 1 1 1 -3 4
48 Loon-Plage 3 1 1 1 -4 4
49 Reims 1 1 0 0 +7 3
50 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +6 3
51 Gobelins 2 1 0 1 +4 3
52 Villefranche 2 1 0 1 +3 3
53 Epinal 2 1 0 1 +3 3
54 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
55 Rumilly Vallières 2 1 0 1 +2 3
56 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +2 3
57 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +2 3
58 Brest 1 1 0 0 +2 3
59 Lens 1 1 0 0 +2 3
60 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
61 Thiers 2 1 0 1 +1 3
62 Châtellerault 2 1 0 1 +1 3
63 Olympique Marcquois 2 1 0 1 +1 3
64 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
65 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
66 Ajaccio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
67 Lyon Duchere 2 1 0 1 +0 3
68 Colomiers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
69 Union Cosnoise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Haguenau 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Onet-le-Château 2 1 0 1 +0 3
72 Roche Saint-Genest 2 1 0 1 +0 3
73 Bourges Foot 18 3 0 3 0 +0 3
74 Vire 3 1 0 2 -1 3
75 Boé Bon Encontre 2 1 0 1 -1 3
76 Wasquehal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
77 Marnaval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
78 Mâcon 2 1 0 1 -2 3
79 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 1 0 1 -2 3
80 Stade Béthunois 2 1 0 1 -3 3
81 Marcoussis Nozay 2 1 0 1 -5 3
82 Aiglon 2 1 0 1 -9 3
83 Alençon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
84 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
85 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 2 0 2 0 +0 2
86 Lannion 2 0 2 0 +0 2
87 Plouvorn 2 0 2 0 +0 2
88 Hyères 3 0 2 1 -2 2
89 Vannes 3 0 2 1 -2 2
90 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Sporting Baie-Mahault 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Angers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
122 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
123 Trélissac 2 0 1 1 -1 1
124 Drapeau Fougères 2 0 1 1 -1 1
125 Orvault SF 2 0 1 1 -1 1
126 Aubervilliers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
127 Ergué-Gaberic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
128 Lège-Cap-Ferret 2 0 1 1 -3 1
129 Grand Santi 2 0 1 1 -3 1
130 Montauban TG 2 0 1 1 -4 1
131 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Raon l'Etape 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Nice 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
176 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
177 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
178 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
179 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
180 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
186 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
187 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
188 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
189 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
190 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
191 Tarentaise 1 0 0 1 -5 0
192 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.