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Serie A

Referee: D Chiffi

Spezia

T T U S U

0–0

Full-time

Lecce

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 22%

19%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

63%

31%

Both score Ø 63%

56%

69%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 17. · Lecce 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	16	13	2	1	+24	41
2	Juventus	17	11	4	2	+19	37
3	Milan	16	11	3	2	+15	36
4	Inter	17	11	1	5	+13	34
5	Lazio	16	9	3	4	+14	30
6	Roma	16	9	3	4	+5	30
7	Atalanta	16	8	4	4	+7	28
8	Udinese	17	6	7	4	+6	25
9	Fiorentina	17	6	5	6	-1	23
10	Torino	17	6	5	6	-1	23
11	Bologna	16	5	4	7	-6	19
12	Lecce	16	4	6	6	-2	18
13	Salernitana	17	4	6	7	-6	18
14	Monza	17	5	3	9	-6	18
15	Empoli	16	4	6	6	-7	18
16	Sassuolo	17	4	4	9	-9	16
17	Spezia	16	3	5	8	-12	14
18	Sampdoria	16	2	3	11	-20	9
19	Cremonese	16	0	7	9	-16	7
20	Verona	16	1	3	12	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Napoli	8	7	1	0	+15	22
3	Inter	8	7	0	1	+16	21
4	Milan	8	7	0	1	+11	21
5	Lazio	8	5	1	2	+7	16
6	Bologna	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Fiorentina	9	4	3	2	+0	15
8	Udinese	8	3	4	1	+6	13
9	Monza	9	4	1	4	+3	13
10	Roma	8	4	1	3	+3	13
11	Salernitana	9	3	3	3	+3	12
12	Torino	8	3	3	2	+2	12
13	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	+3	11
14	Spezia	8	2	5	1	+1	11
15	Atalanta	8	3	2	3	+0	11
16	Empoli	8	3	2	3	-1	11
17	Lecce	8	2	4	2	+0	10
18	Verona	8	1	0	7	-9	3
19	Cremonese	8	0	3	5	-10	3
20	Sampdoria	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	8	6	1	1	+9	19
2	Atalanta	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	Roma	8	5	2	1	+2	17
4	Milan	8	4	3	1	+4	15
5	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+7	14
6	Juventus	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Inter	9	4	1	4	-3	13
8	Udinese	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Torino	9	3	2	4	-3	11
10	Fiorentina	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Lecce	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	Empoli	8	1	4	3	-6	7
13	Sampdoria	8	2	1	5	-9	7
14	Salernitana	8	1	3	4	-9	6
15	Monza	8	1	2	5	-9	5
16	Sassuolo	9	1	2	6	-12	5
17	Cremonese	8	0	4	4	-6	4
18	Bologna	8	1	1	6	-12	4
19	Verona	8	0	3	5	-8	3
20	Spezia	8	1	0	7	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.