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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Fenerbahce
S T T S S
0–3
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,2
This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 69%
69%
69%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 47%
38%
56%
Average goals
3,7
2,6
Scored
2,6
1,8
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 7
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Galatasaray 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 16 11 3 2 +16 36
2 Fenerbahce 16 11 2 3 +25 35
3 Buyuksehyr 16 9 4 3 +8 31
4 Ad. Demirspor 16 8 6 2 +16 30
5 Besiktas 16 8 5 3 +10 29
6 Trabzonspor 16 8 5 3 +5 29
7 Konyaspor 17 6 9 2 +7 27
8 Kayserispor 17 7 2 8 +0 23
9 Alanyaspor 17 5 6 6 -6 21
10 Karagumruk 17 5 5 7 +1 20
11 Ankaragücü 17 5 4 8 -4 19
12 Giresunspor 17 5 4 8 -10 19
13 Gaziantep 16 4 6 6 -1 18
14 Kasimpasa 17 5 3 9 -11 18
15 Antalyaspor 16 5 2 9 -7 17
16 Hatayspor 17 4 5 8 -14 17
17 Sivasspor 17 3 6 8 -6 15
18 Ümraniyespor 17 3 5 9 -9 14
19 İstanbulspor 16 3 2 11 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,57
B ✓
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.